Artis
vs
Slovan Liberec
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Artis 1–2 Slovan Liberec
The model makes it 23% Artis, 26% draw, 51% Slovan Liberec — fair odds of 4.35, 3.85 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (10%).
Expected goals: Artis 1.02, Slovan Liberec 2.14.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Artis vs Slovan Liberec
Every scoreline the model considered
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell is one exact result, shaded against the likeliest one; figures below 1% are left blank rather than rounded to zero. Blue cells are Artis wins, grey are draws, red are Slovan Liberec wins — the three shaded areas ARE the 1/X/2 split above, which is the sum of the cells in each. The most likely scoreline is simply the darkest cell inside whichever area the model favours.
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Liberec at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Artis vs Slovan Liberec
Artis
- L1-2away to Zbrojovka Brno12 September 2026
- L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Pardubice29 August 2026
- L0-4Sparta Praha22 August 2026
- L0-1away to Baník Ostrava16 August 2026
Slovan Liberec
- W3-0Mlada Boleslav12 September 2026
- W2-1away to FK Jablonec6 September 2026
- W2-0Hradec Králové30 August 2026
- W1-0away to Zlin22 August 2026
- D1-1Slavia Praha16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Artis | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Artis vs Slovan Liberec
- 30 September 2025Artis 1–1 Slovan LiberecCup
Leading scorers: Artis and Slovan Liberec
Artis
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Slovan Liberec
- P. Dulay3 goals1 assists
- L. Mašek3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Artis carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.85 for Slovan Liberec. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.02 goals for Artis and 2.14 for Slovan Liberec. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Artis rate 0.63 in attack and 1.76 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Slovan Liberec rate 1.01 and 1.00.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Artis a 0% chance of the title and Slovan Liberec 19.5%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slovan Liberec the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Artis against 2.14 for Slovan Liberec. Artis's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.76 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.01/1 for Slovan Liberec.