Artis vs Slovan Liberec Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Artis 0-0 Slovan Liberec.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Artis, 26% draw, 51% Slovan Liberec — fair odds of 4.35, 3.85 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Liberec at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Artis vs Slovan Liberec
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Richard KašíkG
- 33Neil GlossoaD
- 4Dominik PlechatýD
- 34Karel PojeznýD
- 15Emmanuel FullyD
- 36Sebastian BoháčM
- 5Michal JeřábekM
- 7Alexis AlegueM
- 9Albert LabíkM
- 17PapaléléM
- 12El Hadji Latyr NdiayeF
- 6Quadri AdediranF
- 8Sacha KomljenovicM
- 27Dominik PreislerD
- 90Youssoupha SanyangM
- 2Stepan HarazimD
- 32Tadeas StoppenG
- 11Issa FombaM
- 21Adam CarlénM
- 20Dominik SarapataM
- 40Tomáš KoubekG
- 17Petr JulišD
- 29Lukáš HůlkaD
- 14Augustin DrakpeD
- 27Aziz KayondoD
- 60Fallou FayeM
- 12Vojtěch StránskýM
- 24Patrik DulayM
- 19Vasil KušejM
- 15Milan LexaM
- 9Lukáš MašekF
- 3Jan MikulaD
- 18Josef KoželuhD
- 94Ghislain Vénuste BaboulaF
- 25Matěj MikulenkaF
- 79Enej MarseticM
- 33Lukáš PešlG
- 47Jindrich MusilG
- 16Alexandr BužekM
- 5Petr HodoušD
Form going into Artis vs Slovan Liberec
Artis
Czech Liga
- L1-2away to Zbrojovka Brno12 September 2026
- L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
Slovan Liberec
Czech Liga
- W3-0Mlada Boleslav12 September 2026
- W2-1away to FK Jablonec6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Artis | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
| 5 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Artis vs Slovan Liberec
- 30 September 2025Artis 1–1 Slovan LiberecCup
The result against the call
Artis and Slovan Liberec drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Slovan Liberec at 51% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.69–0.46.
How the call on Artis v Slovan Liberec has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 28% / 29% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 23% / 26% / 51%: the biggest move is Slovan Liberec's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Artis win23%▼ −5
- Draw26%▼ −3
- Slovan Liberec win51%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.