25 July 2026, 18:15 UTC

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia First League prediction & result

Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Lokomotiv Sofia 1-2 Levski Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Lokomotiv Sofia, 28% draw, 51% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 4.76, 3.57 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Levski Sofia at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
🔁D. Kussoout: Reinaldo
🔁N. Penevout: A. Taoui
60'
61'
🔁M. Soulaout: A. Neves
61'
🔁S. Stoyanchovout: Maicon
⚽S. Delevassist: D. Kostadinov
63'
69'
•Reinaldo
G. Minchev
69'
D. Kostadinov
70'
74'
🔁Everton Balaout: A. Oko-Flex
77'
⚽Reinaldoassist: A. Centelles
🔁E. Dostout: M. Medfai
80'
82'
⚽Serginhoassist: Reinaldo
84'
86'
🔁Serginhoout: M. Sangare
🔁S. Delevout: Caue Caruzo
89'
🔁G. Minchevout: M. Papazov
89'
90+6'
A. Oko-Flex

Line-ups

Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 99Martin VelichkovG
  • 22Reyan DaskalovD
  • 44Bozhidar KatsarovD
  • 91Ryan BidoungaD
  • 14Angel LyaskovD
  • 31Krasimir StanoevM
  • 5Erol DostM
  • 71Nikolas PenevM
  • 20Dimitar KostadinovM
  • 7Spas DelevM
  • 10Georgi MinchevF
Substitutes
  • 11Adil TaouiM
  • 13Mohamed MedfaiM
  • 17Mark Emilio PapazovM
  • 77Caue Caruzo AlvesF
  • 24Aleksandar LyubenovG
  • 61EirôD
  • 19Mitko MitkovD
  • 21Kristian ChachevM
  • 26Krasimir MiloshevM
Coach: Lyuboslav Penev
Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 92Svetoslav VutsovG
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 31Nikola SerafimovD
  • 18Gašper TrdinM
  • 4Christian MakounD
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 47Akram BourasM
  • 27David KussoM
  • 22Mazire SoulaM
  • 17Everton BalaM
  • 28Steven StoyanchovF
Substitutes
  • 7ReinaldoF
  • 21AldairD
  • 3MaiconD
  • 11Armstrong Oko-FlexM
  • 12Mustapha SangaréF
  • 78Martin LukovG
  • 1Ognyan VladimirovG
  • 50Kristian DimitrovD
  • 77Adrian RaychevM
Coach: Julio Velazquez

Form going into Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia

  • D1-1away to Botev Plovdiv20 July 2026

Levski Sofia

  • W1-0Universitatea Craiova22 July 2026
  • W2-1Dunav Ruse17 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Lokomotiv Sofia80441016-64
1Levski Sofia9810214+1725

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia

  • 25 July 2026Lokomotiv Sofia 0–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 1 March 2026Levski Sofia 4–3 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
  • 14 September 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 1–2 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 23 November 2024Levski Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
  • 20 July 2024Lokomotiv Sofia 1–6 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 27 November 2023Lokomotiv Sofia 2–2 Levski SofiaFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.