25 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

CSKA 1948 vs Botev Vratsa First League prediction & result

Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Full time2 1

Final score: CSKA 1948 2-1 Botev Vratsa.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% CSKA 1948, 26% draw, 49% Botev Vratsa — fair odds of 4.00, 3.85 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Botev Vratsa at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

F. Krebsassist: A. Iliev
19'
46'
🔁A. Kichukovout: M. Smolenski
🔁D. Tarasenkoout: Frederic
46'
63'
M. Petkovassist: K. Hadji
🔁E. Francoout: B. Sobrero
64'
64'
🔁K. Hadjiout: P. Borukov
🔁B. Tsonevout: J. Martines
72'
🔁F. Krebsout: J. Meyer
76'
A. Ilievassist: D. Grivic
78'
80'
🔁A. Stoyanovout: D. Genov
90+5'
M. Stoev

Line-ups

CSKA 1948 4-1-4-1
  • 13Dimitar SheytanovG
  • 96Dragan GrivićD
  • 6Egor ParkhomenkoD
  • 70Kostadin IlievD
  • 15Christopher AcheampongD
  • 34Petar VitanovM
  • 11Danylo TarasenkoF
  • 23Florian KrebsM
  • 10Borislav TsonevM
  • 77Elias FrancoM
  • 93Mamadou DialloF
Substitutes
  • 67Frédéric MacielM
  • 20Brian SobreroM
  • 17José MartínezF
  • 30Jules MeyerM
  • 1Petar MarinovG
  • 4Andre HoffmannD
  • 22Ognjen GaševićD
  • 11Georgi RusevM
  • 19Marto BoychevM
Coach: Yuriy Vasev
Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
  • 94Marin OrlinovG
  • 4Ivan GoranovD
  • 36Milen StoevD
  • 88Lazar BoyanovD
  • 3Sainey SanyangD
  • 6Abdullah KichukovM
  • 8Antoan StoyanovM
  • 81Kassim HadjiM
  • 12Iliya YurukovM
  • 97Vladislav NaydenovM
  • 79Martin PetkovF
Substitutes
  • 24Martin SmolenskiM
  • 99Preslav BorukovF
  • 23Luboslav Stoyanov MarinovG
  • 98Lyubomir VasilevG
  • 11Martin AchkovD
  • 17Samuil MechevM
  • 10José GallegosM
  • 9Daniel GenovM
  • 2Miroslav Danielov Tsonev
Coach: Todor Simov

Form going into CSKA 1948 vs Botev Vratsa

CSKA 1948

  • D0-0away to Spartak Trnava22 July 2026
  • D2-2away to Spartak Varna17 July 2026

Botev Vratsa

  • D1-1Cherno More Varna19 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4CSKA 19489612179+819
9Botev Vratsa9225717-108

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CSKA 1948 vs Botev Vratsa

  • 25 July 2026CSKA 1948 2–1 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 10 April 2026CSKA 1948 1–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 3 November 2025Botev Vratsa 0–0 CSKA 1948First League
  • 28 April 2025CSKA 1948 0–1 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 21 February 2025CSKA 1948 1–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 30 August 2024Botev Vratsa 0–3 CSKA 1948First League

Leading scorers: CSKA 1948 and Botev Vratsa

CSKA 1948

  • Frédéric Maciel1 goals

Botev Vratsa

No player in First League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.