24 July 2026, 18:15 UTC

Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result

Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Slavia Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Arda Kardzhali, 25% draw, 29% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Arda Kardzhali at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Vutov
28'
46'
🔁V. Kazaldzhievout: I. Stefanov
61'
I. Stefanov
🔁P. Bachevout: D. Yankov
67'
73'
🔁R. Raychevout: J. Semedo
🔁A. Vutovout: A. Kabov
78'
81'
🔁V. Nikolovout: Y. Bornosuzov
81'
🔁I. Minchevout: B. Todorov
90+2'
🔁U. Baldeout: Y. Guermouche
⚽A. Kabov
90+3'
A. Kabov
90+5'
🔁B. Karagarenout: M. Paskalev
90+6'
🔁S. Kovachevout: V. Popov
90+6'

Line-ups

Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1
  • 1Anatoli GospodinovG
  • 21Vyacheslav VelevD
  • 44Adama Ardile TraoréD
  • 5Viktor LyubenovD
  • 35Dimitar VelkovskiD
  • 80Lachezar KotevM
  • 4Idowu David AkintolaM
  • 10Svetoslav KovachevM
  • 39Antonio VutovM
  • 99Birsent KaragarenM
  • 16Preslav BachevF
Substitutes
  • 64Dominik YankovM
  • 11Atanas KabovM
  • 24Martin PaskalevD
  • 6Viktor PopovD
  • 22Yanko GeorgievG
  • 18Simeon VasilevD
  • 26Burak AkandzhaM
Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander
Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 99Ivan AndonovG
  • 87Diego FerraressoD
  • 4Nikola SavićD
  • 5David MalembanaD
  • 26Dimitar BurovM
  • 73Ivan MinchevM
  • 11Mouhamed DossoM
  • 27Umaro BaldéF
  • 7Roberto RaychevM
  • 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
  • 88Vladimir NikolovF
Substitutes
  • 13Iliyan StefanovM
  • 20Jordan Semedo VarelaD
  • 6Boris TodorovM
  • 9Yoan BornosuzovF
  • 10Yanis GuermoucheF
  • 63Levi NtumbaG
  • 1Georgi PetkovG
  • 16Maksimilian LazarovD
  • 3Martin GeorgievD
Coach: Ratko Dostanic

Form going into Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia

Arda Kardzhali

  • D1-1away to Septemvri Sofia18 July 2026

Slavia Sofia

  • D0-0CSKA Sofia20 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Arda Kardzhali95131411+316
7Slavia Sofia925286+211

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia

  • 24 July 2026Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
  • 14 February 2026Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
  • 25 August 2025Slavia Sofia 2–0 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 22 February 2025Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
  • 30 August 2024Slavia Sofia 1–1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 23 May 2024Arda Kardzhali 3–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.