Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Slavia Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Arda Kardzhali, 25% draw, 29% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arda Kardzhali at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Anatoli GospodinovG
- 21Vyacheslav VelevD
- 44Adama Ardile TraoréD
- 5Viktor LyubenovD
- 35Dimitar VelkovskiD
- 80Lachezar KotevM
- 4Idowu David AkintolaM
- 10Svetoslav KovachevM
- 39Antonio VutovM
- 99Birsent KaragarenM
- 16Preslav BachevF
- 64Dominik YankovM
- 11Atanas KabovM
- 24Martin PaskalevD
- 6Viktor PopovD
- 22Yanko GeorgievG
- 18Simeon VasilevD
- 26Burak AkandzhaM
- 99Ivan AndonovG
- 87Diego FerraressoD
- 4Nikola SavićD
- 5David MalembanaD
- 26Dimitar BurovM
- 73Ivan MinchevM
- 11Mouhamed DossoM
- 27Umaro BaldéF
- 7Roberto RaychevM
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 88Vladimir NikolovF
- 13Iliyan StefanovM
- 20Jordan Semedo VarelaD
- 6Boris TodorovM
- 9Yoan BornosuzovF
- 10Yanis GuermoucheF
- 63Levi NtumbaG
- 1Georgi PetkovG
- 16Maksimilian LazarovD
- 3Martin GeorgievD
Form going into Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Septemvri Sofia18 July 2026
Slavia Sofia
All competitions we cover
- D0-0CSKA Sofia20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia
- 14 February 2026Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 25 August 2025Slavia Sofia 2–0 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 22 February 2025Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 30 August 2024Slavia Sofia 1–1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 23 May 2024Arda Kardzhali 3–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
Leading scorers: Arda Kardzhali and Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
GoalsAssists
- B. Karagaren11
- S. Kovachev10
- A. Kabov10
Slavia Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Arda Kardzhali beat Slavia Sofia 1–0. The model had made a win for Arda Kardzhali its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Kabov 90+3' for Arda Kardzhali.