Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna First League prediction & result
Final score: Cherno More Varna 0-3 Spartak Varna.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Cherno More Varna, 26% draw, 38% Spartak Varna — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Spartak Varna at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 81Kristian TomovG
- 50Ertan TombakD
- 3Zhivko AtanasovD
- 5Luciano SquadroneD
- 37Ventsislav KerchevD
- 29Berk BeyhanM
- 24David TelesM
- 8Asen DonchevD
- 71Vasil PanayotovM
- 7Miguel BarandasF
- 20Aleksandar KolevF
- 70Antoan ManasievG
- 13Emanuil NyagolovD
- 93Georgi VentsislavovD
- 26João BandaroD
- 23Martin BanevM
- 22Nikolay Petrov KostadinovM
- 14Aleksandar TodorovM
- 18Petar AndreevM
- 39Nikolay ZlatevM
- 23Plamen IlievG
- 20Deyan LozevD
- 44Angel GranchovD
- 45Joey TshitokuD
- 4Boris IvanovD
- 17Tsvetoslav MarinovM
- 8Damian YordanovM
- 10Jota LopesM
- 82Tomás SilvaM
- 90Georg StojanovskiF
- 99Georgi TrifonovF
- 1Pedro VictorG
- 72Vasco OliveiraD
- 76David Valverde JuanD
- 6Ricardo SousaM
- 9Tsvetelin ChunchukovF
- 80Ángel Gomes ArevaloF
- 11Boubacar HanneF
- 77Anton IvanovF
Form going into Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Botev Vratsa19 July 2026
Spartak Varna
All competitions we cover
- D2-2CSKA 194817 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cherno More Varna | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna
- 7 February 2026Cherno More Varna 0–0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
- 16 August 2025Spartak Varna 1–3 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
- 8 March 2025Cherno More Varna 1–1 Spartak VarnaFirst League
- 22 September 2024Spartak Varna 0–2 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
- 7 May 2023Cherno More Varna 3–2 Spartak VarnaFirst League
Leading scorers: Cherno More Varna and Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
No player in First League's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Spartak Varna
GoalsAssists
- Georg Stojanovski11
- J. Tshitoku10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Spartak Varna won 3–0 at Cherno More Varna. The model had made a win for Spartak Varna its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Granchov 33' for Spartak Varna, G. Stojanovski 88' for Spartak Varna, R. Sousa 90+4' for Spartak Varna.