Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 FC Juarez.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Guadalajara Chivas, 25% draw, 26% FC Juarez — fair odds of 2.04, 4.00 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Guadalajara Chivas at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Raúl RangelG
- 23Daniel AguirreD
- 7Luis RomoD
- 2José CastilloD
- 28Fernando GonzálezM
- 37Richard LedezmaM
- 11Brian GutiérrezM
- 33Jordan CarrilloM
- 5Bryan GonzálezM
- 25Roberto AlvaradoF
- 34Armando GonzálezF
- 10Efrain AlvarezF
- 3Diego CampilloD
- 19Kevin CastañedaM
- 17Ricardo MarínF
- 18Jonathan PerezM
- 13Óscar WhalleyG
- 24Miguel GómezD
- 56Ángel ChávezD
- 16Luis Gabriel ReyD
- 1Sebastián JuradoG
- 20Javier AquinoD
- 2Gilberto SepúlvedaD
- 3Jesús MurilloD
- 23Haret OrtegaD
- 4Alejandro MayorgaD
- 21RicardinhoM
- 5Denzell GarciaM
- 8Guilherme CastilhoM
- 11José Luis RodríguezM
- 19Óscar EstupiñánF
- 33Francisco NevarezD
- 6MonchuM
- 10Jairo TorresF
- 17Luca Martínez DupuyF
- 198Ricardo JuárezD
- 27Guillermo RuizG
- 7Raymundo FulgencioM
- 25Said GodínezM
- 201Jan CarmonaM
Form going into Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez
Guadalajara Chivas
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Toluca19 July 2026
FC Juarez
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Puebla18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez
- 14 January 2026FC Juarez 0–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 16 August 2025Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 FC JuarezLiga MX
- 16 March 2025FC Juarez 1–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 31 August 2024Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 FC JuarezLiga MX
- 10 February 2024Guadalajara Chivas 2–1 FC JuarezLiga MX
- 19 August 2023FC Juarez 1–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
Leading scorers: Guadalajara Chivas and FC Juarez
Guadalajara Chivas
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
FC Juarez
GoalsAssists
- Ó. Estupiñán60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Guadalajara Chivas beat FC Juarez 1–0. The model had made a win for Guadalajara Chivas its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: R. Alvarado 90+6' for Guadalajara Chivas. On expected goals it finished 1.90–0.49.