Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Slask Wroclaw.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Gornik Zabrze, 21% draw, 50% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 3.45, 4.76 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slask Wroclaw at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Philipp SchulzeG
- 2Patryk WarczakD
- 26Rafał JanickiD
- 20JosemaD
- 64Erik JanžaD
- 18Lukáš SadílekM
- 66Maximilian DietzM
- 82Kacper UrbańskiM
- 7Yvan Ikia DimiF
- 11Erik PrekopF
- 33Maksym KhlanF
- 15MassimoM
- 23Sondre LisethF
- 88Taofeek IsmaheelM
- 28Bastien DonioM
- 21Ondřej ZmrzlýD
- 99Tomasz LoskaG
- 92Piotr PietrygaG
- 3Michał SynośD
- 4Paweł BochniewiczD
- 25Michał SzromnikG
- 27Michał RosiakD
- 33Yegor MatsenkoD
- 5Lamine BaD
- 3Irodotos ChristodoulouD
- 8Marc LlinaresD
- 7Piotr Samiec-TalarM
- 15Jorge YriarteM
- 14Michał MokrzyckiM
- 19Przemysław BanaszakF
- 11Luka MarjanacF
- 20Grzegorz TomasiewiczM
- 10Malaly DembéléF
- 21Alex Timossi AnderssonD
- 77Eniss ShabaniM
- 1Karol NiemczyckiG
- 44Mariusz MalecD
- 2Dominik SzalaD
- 26Adrian ZulewskiD
- 38Dorian MarkowskiM
Form going into Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw
Gornik Zabrze
- L0-1away to Fenerbahçe21 July 2026
Slask Wroclaw
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw
- 25 July 2026Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 9 May 2025Gornik Zabrze 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 9 November 2024Slask Wroclaw 0–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 14 April 2024Gornik Zabrze 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 8 October 2023Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 23 April 2023Gornik Zabrze 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Gornik Zabrze and Slask Wroclaw
Gornik Zabrze
- K. UrbaÅski3 goals1 assists
Slask Wroclaw
- P. Samiec-Talar4 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.