Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Slask Wroclaw.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Gornik Zabrze, 21% draw, 50% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 3.45, 4.76 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slask Wroclaw at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Philipp SchulzeG
- 2Patryk WarczakD
- 26Rafał JanickiD
- 20JosemaD
- 64Erik JanžaD
- 18Lukáš SadílekM
- 66Maximilian DietzM
- 82Kacper UrbańskiM
- 7Yvan Ikia DimiF
- 11Erik PrekopF
- 33Maksym KhlanF
- 15MassimoM
- 23Sondre LisethF
- 88Taofeek IsmaheelM
- 28Bastien DonioM
- 21Ondřej ZmrzlýD
- 99Tomasz LoskaG
- 92Piotr PietrygaG
- 3Michał SynośD
- 4Paweł BochniewiczD
- 25Michał SzromnikG
- 27Michał RosiakD
- 33Yegor MatsenkoD
- 5Lamine BaD
- 3Irodotos ChristodoulouD
- 8Marc LlinaresD
- 7Piotr Samiec-TalarM
- 15Jorge YriarteM
- 14Michał MokrzyckiM
- 19Przemysław BanaszakF
- 11Luka MarjanacF
- 20Grzegorz TomasiewiczM
- 10Malaly DembéléF
- 21Alex Timossi AnderssonD
- 77Eniss ShabaniM
- 1Karol NiemczyckiG
- 44Mariusz MalecD
- 2Dominik SzalaD
- 26Adrian ZulewskiD
- 38Dorian MarkowskiM
Form going into Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw
Gornik Zabrze
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Fenerbahçe21 July 2026
Slask Wroclaw
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 27 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw
- 9 May 2025Gornik Zabrze 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 9 November 2024Slask Wroclaw 0–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 14 April 2024Gornik Zabrze 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 8 October 2023Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 23 April 2023Gornik Zabrze 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Gornik Zabrze and Slask Wroclaw
Gornik Zabrze
GoalsAssists
- K. UrbaÅski51
- Peter40
Slask Wroclaw
GoalsAssists
- P. Samiec-Talar47
- P. Banaszak40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gornik Zabrze beat Slask Wroclaw 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Slask Wroclaw at 50% and given a win for Gornik Zabrze 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: P. Banaszak 7' for Slask Wroclaw, Y. Matsenko (own goal) 65' for Gornik Zabrze, Y. Ikia Dimi 79' for Gornik Zabrze. On expected goals it finished 0.67–1.54.