Lillestrom vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Lillestrom 1-2 Viking.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Lillestrom, 26% draw, 50% Viking — fair odds of 4.17, 3.85 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Viking at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lillestrom vs Viking
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Pontus DahlbergG
- 2Lars RangerD
- 4Espen Bjørnsen GarnåsD
- 28Ruben GabrielsenD
- 11Frederik ElkærD
- 29Ylldren IbrahimajM
- 26Yaw PaintsilM
- 8Markus KarlsbakkM
- 14Gustav Kjolstad NyheimM
- 20Felix VáM
- 10Thomas Lehne OlsenF
- 18Kevin Martin KrygardM
- 77Fredrik GulbrandsenF
- 15Gustav NordhF
- 9Kparobo ArierhiF
- 6Harald WoxenM
- 1Stephan HagerupG
- 3Sturla OttesenD
- 5Sander Moen FossD
- 47Stian KristiansenD
- 30Ľubomír BelkoG
- 5Henrik HeggheimD
- 6Gianni StensnessD
- 21Anders BaertelsenD
- 28Kristoffer HaugenD
- 8Joe BellM
- 10Zlatko TripićM
- 7Kristoffer AskildsenM
- 26Simen Kvia-EgeskogM
- 17Edvin AustbøM
- 20Peter ChristiansenF
- 18Sondre Flem BjørsholD
- 23Niklas Kemp FuglestadF
- 16Ruben AlteM
- 24Vetle AuklendD
- 3Viljar VevatneD
- 1Arild ØstbøG
- 2Herman Johan HaugenD
- 29Tobias MoiM
- 15Ola VistedM
Form going into Lillestrom vs Viking
Lillestrom
All competitions we cover
- W2-1KFUM Oslo18 July 2026
Viking
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Sandefjord18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 39 |
| 1 | Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 59 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lillestrom vs Viking
- 29 September 2024Lillestrom 1–4 VikingEliteserien
- 16 May 2024Viking 1–4 LillestromEliteserien
- 13 August 2023Lillestrom 1–3 VikingEliteserien
- 15 April 2023Viking 2–0 LillestromEliteserien
- 26 February 2023Viking 2–2 LillestromFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Lillestrom and Viking
Lillestrom
GoalsAssists
- Vá85
- F. Gulbrandsen71
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen157
- S. Kvia-Egeskog93
- H. Heggheim73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viking won 2–1 at Lillestrom. The model had made a win for Viking its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Kristoffer Askildsen 31' for Viking, Peter Christiansen 55' for Viking, Lars Ranger 63' for Lillestrom. On expected goals it finished 0.58–0.79.