Liga MX · 22 July 2026, 03:05 UTC

Toluca vs Pumas UNAM

Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca
Full time1 2

Final score: Toluca 1-2 Pumas UNAM.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Toluca, 30% draw, 26% Pumas UNAM — fair odds of 2.27, 3.33 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Match stats: Toluca vs Pumas UNAM

Toluca had 66% possession, 16 shots (4 on target), 9 corners, 1.19 expected goals; Pumas UNAM had 34% possession, 8 shots (3 on target), 1 corners, 0.66 expected goals.

Goals: J. Diaz Price 14' for Toluca, V. Arteaga 57' for Pumas UNAM, S. Cordova 63' for Pumas UNAM.

Head-to-head: Toluca vs Pumas UNAM

  • 22 July 2026Toluca 1–2 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
  • 4 March 2026Pumas UNAM 2–3 TolucaLiga MX
  • 17 August 2025Toluca 1–1 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
  • 30 January 2025Pumas UNAM 1–1 TolucaLiga MX
  • 6 October 2024Toluca 1–1 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
  • 18 March 2024Toluca 3–0 Pumas UNAMLiga MX
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.