18 July 2026

Viking vs Sandefjord Eliteserien prediction & result

Full time2 – 1

Final score: Viking 2-1 Sandefjord.

Before kick-off the model made it 69% Viking, 19% draw, 12% Sandefjord — fair odds of 1.45, 5.26 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Viking at 69% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Kristoffer Askildsen
7'
⚽Z. Tripic (pen)
9'
Kristoffer Askildsen
45+3'
45+4'
Marcus Melchior
🔁H. Falchenerout: A. Baertelsen
46'
54'
⚽E. Patoulidis
🔁N. Fuglestadout: E. Austbo
59'
Zlatko Tripić
61'
66'
Bendik Berntsen
68'
🔁B. Berntsenout: J. Dunsby
68'
🔁N. Mollerout: S. Mathisen
75'
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
🔁T. Moiout: J. Bell
75'
🔁K. Askildsenout: O. Visted
75'
Edvin Austbø
79'
⚽E. Austbo
79'
80'
🔁E. Patoulidisout: M. Sauer
89'
🔁F. Pedersenout: R. Holten
🔁Z. Tripicout: H. J. Haugen
90+1'

Match stats — Viking vs Sandefjord

45%Possession55%
18Shots9
6On target2
6Corners5
2.1xG0.38

Goals against chances

Viking2 from 2.10 xGabout what the chances were worth
Sandefjord1 from 0.38 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Viking 4-1-4-1
  • 30L. BelkoG
  • 5H. HeggheimD
  • 6G. StensnessD
  • 25H. FalchenerD
  • 28K. HaugenD
  • 29T. MoiM
  • 23N. FuglestadM
  • 7K. AskildsenM
  • 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
  • 10Z. TripicM
  • 20P. ChristiansenF
Substitutes
  • 1A. OstboG
  • 18S. BjorsholD
  • 21A. BaertelsenD
  • 2H. J. HaugenD
  • 17E. AustboF
  • 24V. AuklendD
  • 8J. BellM
  • 11R. PostemaF
  • 15O. VistedM
Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim
Sandefjord 4-1-4-1
  • 30E. HadayaG
  • 4F. PedersenD
  • 44X. LambrixD
  • 47S. KristiansenD
  • 3V. EgeliD
  • 6S. MorkM
  • 7E. PatoulidisM
  • 14E. PettersenM
  • 20M. MelchiorM
  • 19B. BerntsenM
  • 11N. MollerF
Substitutes
  • 1A. GronnebergG
  • 27J. DunsbyF
  • 18M. SauerM
  • 2M. HellanD
  • 13R. HoltenD
  • 32D. SkaarudF
  • 22D. KoswalD
  • 24S. MathisenF
Coach: Andreas Tegstrom

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Viking2015235120+3147
13Sandefjord2055101827-920

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Viking vs Sandefjord

  • 18 July 2026Viking 2–1 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 10 August 2025Sandefjord 1–2 VikingEliteserien
  • 16 May 2025Viking 3–1 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 2 November 2024Viking 3–2 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 20 May 2024Sandefjord 0–3 VikingEliteserien
  • 24 September 2023Viking 4–3 SandefjordEliteserien

Leading scorers: Viking and Sandefjord

Viking

  • P. Christiansen10 goals6 assists
  • S. Kvia-Egeskog8 goals2 assists
  • Z. Tripić6 goals18 assists

Sandefjord

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.