18 July 2026

Molde vs Brann Eliteserien prediction & result

Full time1 – 2

Final score: Molde 1-2 Brann.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Molde, 26% draw, 26% Brann — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Molde at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽D. De Roeve
Samukelo Kabini
20'
🔁V. Hoffout: D. Daga
35'
35'
⚽K. Eriksenassist: U. Mathisen
Mathias Løvik
45+2'
🔁I. Amundsenout: B. Risa
46'
🔁O. Spiten-Nysaeterout: S. Diop
46'
54'
Kristian Eriksen
63'
🔁D. De Roeveout: V. Dragsnes
63'
🔁K. M. Ingasonout: N. Castro
63'
🔁N. Holmout: J. Sorensen
69'
🔁U. Mathisenout: S. Magnusson
🔁M. Lovikout: V. Bender
76'
Sivert Sira Hansen
78'
🔁J. Abdullaiout: T. Kone-Doherty
82'
Viktor Bender
83'
83'
🔁N. Wassbergout: B. Finne
⚽S. Diopassist: E. Breivik
88'

Match stats — Molde vs Brann

47%Possession53%
14Shots8
2On target2
6Corners4
1.39xG0.53

Goals against chances

Molde1 from 1.39 xGabout what the chances were worth
Brann2 from 0.53 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Molde 4-2-3-1
  • 22A. PosiadalaG
  • 8M. LovikD
  • 4S. HansenD
  • 6I. AmundsenD
  • 26S. KabiniD
  • 10E. BreivikM
  • 15V. HoffM
  • 5E. HestadM
  • 23S. GranaasM
  • 21O. Spiten-NysaeterM
  • 9J. AbdullaiF
Substitutes
  • 12P. LervikG
  • 19E. HauganD
  • 33B. RisaD
  • 11C. ZadyF
  • 20M. EnggaardM
  • 29S. Diop
  • 28V. BenderM
  • 24T. Kone-DohertyF
  • 30D. DagaM
Coach: Sindre Tjelmeland
Brann 4-3-3
  • 1M. DyngelandG
  • 21D. De RoeveD
  • 3F. KnudsenD
  • 23T. PedersenD
  • 17J. SoltvedtD
  • 16K. EriksenM
  • 25N. WassbergM
  • 8F. MyhreM
  • 14U. MathisenF
  • 29N. HolmF
  • 10K. M. IngasonF
Substitutes
  • 12S. NilsenG
  • 20V. DragsnesD
  • 9N. CastroF
  • 18J. SorensenM
  • 6D. MbackeD
  • 11B. FinneF
  • 22S. MagnussonF
  • 32M. HaalandM
  • 15J. TorsvikD
Coach: Eirik Horneland

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Molde2011364330+1336
8Brann2082103731+626

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Molde vs Brann

  • 18 July 2026Molde 1–2 BrannEliteserien
  • 22 November 2025Molde 4–0 BrannEliteserien
  • 29 May 2025Brann 0–3 MoldeEliteserien
  • 23 November 2024Molde 2–1 BrannEliteserien
  • 26 May 2024Brann 1–3 MoldeEliteserien
  • 19 March 2024Molde 1–0 BrannFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Molde and Brann

Molde

  • E. Hestad8 goals2 assists
  • E. Breivik7 goals7 assists
  • Trent Toure Kone Doherty6 goals1 assists

Brann

  • N. Holm6 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.