18 July 2026

Start vs Rosenborg Eliteserien prediction & result

Full time0 – 3

Final score: Start 0-3 Rosenborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Start, 24% draw, 41% Rosenborg — fair odds of 2.86, 4.17 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rosenborg at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
⚽A. Chiakha (pen)
🔁M. Uglandout: E. Schulze
46'
🔁H. Lorentzenout: J. Ampofo
46'
46'
🔁J. Svenssonout: J. Mortensen
65'
🔁M. Bomholtout: S. Nordli
65'
🔁A. Pereiraout: T. Dahl
Steve Mvoué
73'
74'
Simen Nordli
75'
🔁O. Selnaesout: S. Vaananen
75'
🔁D. Durisout: J. Reitan-Sunde
77'
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
🔁S. Mvoueout: D. Dashaev
78'
90'
⚽S. Nordliassist: E. K. Ceide
90'
⚽A. Chiakhaassist: E. K. Ceide

Match stats — Start vs Rosenborg

45%Possession55%
14Shots9
3On target6
5Corners3
0.67xG1.57

Goals against chances

Start0 from 0.67 xGless than the chances were worth
Rosenborg3 from 1.57 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Start 5-3-2
  • 1J. LarsenG
  • 27O. ToureD
  • 29E. ReitanD
  • 6J. NorheimD
  • 28J. HuseboD
  • 16T. StrannegardD
  • 10S. MvoueM
  • 23E. SegbergM
  • 18M. UglandM
  • 17J. CorneliusF
  • 20H. LorentzenF
Substitutes
  • 39D. C. BirkenesG
  • 14M. SoometsM
  • 3A. UjkaniD
  • 12D. DashaevD
  • 30L. GausdalM
  • 11E. SchulzeM
  • 2F. PalerudD
  • 22J. AmpofoF
  • 5O. JebaliD
Coach: Azar Karadas
Rosenborg 4-1-4-1
  • 1L. WahlstedtG
  • 22J. SvenssonD
  • 4M. K. CeideD
  • 21T. NemcikD
  • 19A. PereiraD
  • 10O. SelnaesM
  • 29D. DurisM
  • 17M. BomholtM
  • 8I. FossumM
  • 35E. K. CeideM
  • 18A. ChiakhaF
Substitutes
  • 12R. SandbergG
  • 15J. MortensenD
  • 6S. VaananenM
  • 14J. Reitan-SundeF
  • 16A. F. WitryD
  • 7S. NordliM
  • 11N. SahsahF
  • 3T. DahlD
  • 5H. VoldenD
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Start2044122241-1916
6Rosenborg209383629+730

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Start vs Rosenborg

  • 18 July 2026Start 0–3 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 24 February 2026Rosenborg 2–1 StartFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 November 2020Rosenborg 1–0 StartEliteserien
  • 16 July 2020Start 0–0 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 11 November 2018Start 0–1 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 22 April 2018Rosenborg 2–0 StartEliteserien

Leading scorers: Start and Rosenborg

Start

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.

Rosenborg

  • Amin Chiakha12 goals3 assists
  • E. Ceïde5 goals5 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.