Lille vs Real Betis UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Lille 2-3 Real Betis.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Lille, 30% draw, 32% Real Betis — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lille at 38% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Lille vs Real Betis
Lille
- W1-0away to Toulouse3 September 2026
- D2-2Paris Saint Germain28 August 2026
- W2-0away to Angers23 August 2026
Real Betis
- W1-0Real Madrid4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Levante29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Valencia25 August 2026
- W1-0Real Sociedad21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table