8 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

Turku PS vs SJK Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Veritas Stadion, Turku
Full time0 0

Final score: Turku PS 0-0 SJK.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Turku PS, 25% draw, 22% SJK — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Turku PS at 53% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Turku PS6%Draw91%SJK3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
Leon Vesterbacka
Charlemagne Azongnitode
40'
45+2'
Kelvin Pires
🔁Oscar Häggströmout: Miika Kauppila
45'
58'
🔁Kelvin Piresout: Salim Giabo Yussif
58'
🔁Leon Vesterbackaout: Apostolos Vellios
63'
K. Nwanege
Marius Konkkola
64'
77'
Salim Giabo Yussif
79'
🔁Elias Mastokangasout: Aziz Cisse
90+2'
🔁Jeremiah Strengout: Souleimane Bagayogo
90+2'
🔁Amidou Traoreout: Caio Araújo

Match stats — Turku PS vs SJK

53%Possession47%
10Shots9
2On target1
5Corners6

Line-ups

Turku PS 4-3-3
  • 1E. HenrikssonG
  • 2O. HäggströmD
  • 15C. AzongnitodeD
  • 14M. HrádeckýD
  • 25Abdoulie TambaD
  • 6Pau JuvantenyM
  • 22T. ZaalM
  • 11E. VauhkonenM
  • 10M. KönkköläF
  • 44N. VeinbergsF
  • 41S. AniniF
Substitutes
  • 28T. VakipartaM
  • 9L. IvanovicF
  • 35D. LauriG
  • 17A. SihvonenD
  • 20M. KauppilaF
  • 24N. TaloD
  • 26L. IkonenM
  • 7R. HarjanneF
Coach: Ivan Piñol
SJK 3-4-3
  • 1R. PaunioG
  • 28K. NwanegeD
  • 2Facundo CostantiniD
  • 5O. VäistöD
  • 4Kelvin PiresM
  • 8A. BoströmM
  • 48A. TraoreM
  • 15E. MömmöM
  • 22L. VesterbackaF
  • 9J. StrengF
  • 19E. MastokangasF
Substitutes
  • 35J. ViitalaG
  • 6S. YussifD
  • 42AraújoM
  • 27A. VelliosF
  • 52T. KangaskokkoF
  • 43S. BagayogoD
  • 51A. CisseF
Coach: J. Wiss

Form going into Turku PS vs SJK

Turku PS

  • D1-1away to Gnistan31 August 2026
  • D0-0Inter Turku23 August 2026
  • W3-1away to VPS14 August 2026

SJK

  • D0-0away to AC Oulu31 August 2026
  • L1-2Lahti21 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Mariehamn15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Turku PS228772823+531
10SJK2247112533-819

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Turku PS vs SJK

  • 8 September 2026Turku PS 0–0 SJKVeikkausliiga
  • 4 July 2026SJK 3–1 Turku PSVeikkausliiga
  • 18 April 2026Turku PS 2–0 SJKVeikkausliiga
  • 7 March 2026SJK 1–1 Turku PSFriendlies Clubs
  • 11 March 2023SJK 3–2 Turku PSFriendlies Clubs
  • 31 October 2020Turku PS 1–0 SJKVeikkausliiga

Leading scorers: Turku PS and SJK

Turku PS

  • A. Muzaci3 goals

SJK

  • E. Mastokangas2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.