Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Club Brugge KV 2-3 Aston Villa.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Club Brugge KV, 27% draw, 28% Aston Villa — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Brugge KV at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa
Club Brugge KV
- W1-0away to Lommel United4 September 2026
- L1-2away to Gent30 August 2026
- W1-0Cercle Brugge23 August 2026
- W3-0away to OH Leuven15 August 2026
- W3-0Kortrijk7 August 2026
Aston Villa
- D0-0away to Hull City5 September 2026
- L0-1Arsenal31 August 2026
- L0-4away to Brighton23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table