13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC

Levante vs Barcelona La Liga prediction & result

Valencia
Full time2 – 4

Final score: Levante 2-4 Barcelona.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Levante, 28% draw, 43% Barcelona — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Barcelona at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Levante0%Draw4%Barcelona96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽Xavi Espartassist: Raphael Dias Belloli
19'
⚽Lamine Yamalassist: Raphael Dias Belloli
•Daniel Requena Sánchez
29'
45+1'
Gerard Martín
Hugo Sotelo
45+5'
45'
🔁Gerard Martínout: Andreas Christensen
48'
⚽Lamine Yamal (pen)
🔁Jon Ander Olasagastiout: Enzo Bardeli
59'
🔁Hugo Soteloout: Oriol Rey
60'
🔁Petar Ratkovout: Iván Romero
60'
66'
🔁Lamine Yamalout: Daniel Olmo Carvajal
66'
🔁Pedriout: Marc Bernal
67'
🔁Anthony Gordonout: Karim Adeyemi
🔁Manu Sánchezout: Nacho Pérez Gómez
71'
🔁Adrián de la Fuente Barquillaout: Ifeanyi Ndukwe
71'
⚽Iván Romero
79'
80'
🔁Xavi Espartout: João Cancelo
⚽Roger Brugué
88'
90+3'
⚽Karim Adeyemiassist: Marc Bernal

Match stats — Levante vs Barcelona

25%Possession75%
13Shots12
7On target6
3Corners5

Line-ups

Levante 4-4-2
  • 13M. RyanG
  • 22J. ToljanD
  • 4DelaD
  • 2A. MandiD
  • 23Manu SánchezD
  • 6RequeM
  • 5Hugo SoteloM
  • 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
  • 7BruguiM
  • 10P. RatkovF
  • 17Víctor GarcíaF
Substitutes
  • 14Jorge CabelloD
  • 16A. TapeD
  • 18E. BardeliM
  • 27Paco CortésF
  • 1Pablo CuñatG
  • 24T. FernándezF
  • 11Yanis MusuayiF
  • 3IfeanyiIfeanyi NdukweD
  • 29Nacho PérezD
Coach: Luís Castro
Barcelona 4-3-3
  • 1Joan GarcíaG
  • 24Eric GarcíaD
  • 5Pau Cubarsí ParedesD
  • 18Gerard MartínD
  • 12X. EspartD
  • 7FermínM
  • 16RodriM
  • 8PedriM
  • 10Lamine YamalF
  • 11RaphinhaF
  • 17A. GordonF
Substitutes
  • 3Alejandro BaldeD
  • 22Marc BernalM
  • 2João CanceloD
  • 15A. ChristensenD
  • 9Gabriel JesusF
  • 6GaviM
  • 23J. KoundéD
  • 25D. LivakovićG
  • 20Dani OlmoM
Coach: H. Flick

Form going into Levante vs Barcelona

Levante

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Malaga6 September 2026
  • W5-2Real Betis29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Osasuna24 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Espanyol16 August 2026

Barcelona

All competitions we cover

  • W5-1Feyenoord9 September 2026
  • W5-0away to Valencia6 September 2026
  • W5-2Rayo Vallecano31 August 2026
  • W2-0Athletic Club27 August 2026
  • W5-0away to Elche23 August 2026

What these results say

  • Levante failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Levante failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Barcelona won every one of these 5 matches.
  • Barcelona scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Barcelona had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Levante102441619-310
1Barcelona109014011+2927

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Levante vs Barcelona

  • 22 February 2026Barcelona 3–0 LevanteLa Liga
  • 23 August 2025Levante 2–3 BarcelonaLa Liga
  • 10 April 2022Levante 2–3 BarcelonaLa Liga
  • 26 September 2021Barcelona 3–0 LevanteLa Liga
  • 11 May 2021Levante 3–3 BarcelonaLa Liga

The full Levante vs Barcelona record →

Leading scorers: Levante and Barcelona

Levante

GoalsAssists

  • Brugui51
  • Iván Romero30

Barcelona

GoalsAssists

  • Raphinha133
  • Lamine Yamal86
  • Fermín43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Barcelona won 4–2 at Levante. The model had made a win for Barcelona its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Xavi Espart 5' for Barcelona, Lamine Yamal 19' for Barcelona, Lamine Yamal (penalty) 48' for Barcelona, Iván Romero 79' for Levante, Roger Brugué 88' for Levante, Karim Adeyemi 90+3' for Barcelona.

How the call on Levante v Barcelona has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 30% / 26% / 44% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 29% / 28% / 43%: the biggest move is the draw, up 2 points.

  1. Levante win29%▼ −1
  2. Draw28%▲ +2
  3. Barcelona win43%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.