Leganes vs Granada CF Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Leganes 3-2 Granada CF.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Leganes, 29% draw, 30% Granada CF — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Leganes at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Leganes vs Granada CF
Line-ups
- 13L. ZidaneG
- 6Lalo AguilarD
- 5Ignasi MiquelD
- 2MarvelD
- 20Miguel AtienzaM
- 10Z. BuurmeesterM
- 22Álex SancrisM
- 8Y. KechtaM
- 17Ismaël GharbiM
- 11Naim GarcíaM
- 19P. SokoF
- 18Andrés CamposF
- 32Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedF
- 1Raúl FernándezG
- 33J. HerreroM
- 31Nico LozanoG
- 9Álex MillánF
- 3Javi MonteroD
- 21Álvaro MorataF
- 4Rubén PulidoD
- 13Raúl LizoainG
- 18Sergio LópezD
- 5Manu LamaD
- 23B. GimberD
- 16Diego PampínD
- 4Rubén AlcarazM
- 6GumbauM
- 36O. M. ChukwuemekaM
- 10Jorge PascualM
- 11José ArnáizM
- 9Alejandro MarquésF
- 2Pau CasadesúsD
- 35B. DembeleF
- 30Juan José Flores CastroD
- 1Alberto FloresG
- 33A. GarciaD
- 3Diego HormigoD
- 27M. GambinM
- 19Chinaza OnouhaF
- 7Sergio RodelasF
Form going into Leganes vs Granada CF
Leganes
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Tenerife13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Las Palmas4 September 2026
- W1-0Eldense29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Oviedo22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Girona16 August 2026
Granada CF
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Albacete12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Eibar6 September 2026
- W3-1away to Cordoba30 August 2026
- W2-0Mallorca24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Oviedo15 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Leganes had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Leganes vs Granada CF
- 6 February 2026Leganes 1–0 Granada CFSegunda División
- 14 September 2025Granada CF 0–2 LeganesSegunda División
- 27 May 2023Granada CF 2–0 LeganesSegunda División
- 27 November 2022Leganes 1–0 Granada CFSegunda División
- 22 June 2020Leganes 0–0 Granada CFLa Liga
Leading scorers: Leganes and Granada CF
Leganes
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Granada CF
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pascual40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Leganes beat Granada CF 3–2. The model had made a win for Leganes its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Naim Garcia 4' for Leganes, Patrick Soko 7' for Leganes, Ignasi Miquel (own goal) 16' for Granada CF, Alejandro Mendez 52' for Granada CF, Ismael Gharbi 90' for Leganes.
How the call on Leganes v Granada CF has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 37% / 29% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 41% / 29% / 30%: the biggest move is Leganes's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Leganes win41%▲ +4
- Draw29%=
- Granada CF win30%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.