Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Real Betis.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Deportivo La Coruna, 29% draw, 38% Real Betis — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Real Betis at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis
Line-ups
- 13Leo RománG
- 23Ximo NavarroD
- 20J. GiménezD
- 22B. EdeD
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 11David MellaM
- 6Marc CasadóM
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 18Jonathan Asp JensenF
- 32B. NsongoF
- 4L. NoubiD
- 24Adama TraoréF
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 10PekeF
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 9Z. EddahchouriF
- 19Luismi CruzF
- 3Arnau ComasD
- 2Adrià AltiD
- 1Álvaro VallésG
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 5Marc BartraD
- 4NatanD
- 11Fran GarcíaD
- 18N. DeossaM
- 21Marc RocaM
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 7AntonyF
- 9C. HernándezF
- 10A. EzzalzouliF
- 25Dani CeballosM
- 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
- 15Álvaro FidalgoM
- 23Junior FirpoD
- 16V. GómezD
- 31Manu GonzálezG
- 22IscoM
- 20G. Lo CelsoM
- 27J. A. MoranteF
Form going into Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis
Deportivo La Coruna
La Liga
- L0-1Sevilla16 September 2026
Real Betis
La Liga
- W1-0Getafe17 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis
- 12 February 2018Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Real BetisLa Liga
- 16 September 2017Real Betis 2–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 8 March 2017Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Real BetisLa Liga
- 26 August 2016Real Betis 0–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 13 February 2016Deportivo La Coruna 2–2 Real BetisLa Liga
Leading scorers: Deportivo La Coruna and Real Betis
Deportivo La Coruna
GoalsAssists
- P. Aubameyang52
Real Betis
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Deportivo La Coruna and Real Betis drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Real Betis at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Cucho Hernández 43' for Real Betis, Diego Villares 87' for Deportivo La Coruna.
How the call on Deportivo La Coruna v Real Betis has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 11 updates, it read 33% / 29% / 38%: the biggest move is Deportivo La Coruna's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Deportivo La Coruna win33%▼ −2
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Real Betis win38%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.