BSC Young Boys vs Servette FC Super League prediction & result
Final score: BSC Young Boys 3-2 Servette FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% BSC Young Boys, 29% draw, 30% Servette FC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts BSC Young Boys at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — BSC Young Boys vs Servette FC
Line-ups
- 1M. KellerG
- 27L. BlumD
- 30S. LauperD
- 23L. BenitoD
- 33S. BukinacD
- 8A. GigovićM
- 6E. FernandesM
- 16C. FassnachtM
- 10A. SanchesM
- 7A. VirginiusM
- 99S. EssendeF
- 54Chiagozie Silas UbakaD
- 12Bahereba GuirassyF
- 34E. EtoskiM
- 17S. JankoD
- 18J. MallG
- 13D. PechM
- 22I. SchmidtD
- 9K. SèneF
- 52N. TschanzM
- 1E. GertmonasG
- 23Q. MaceirasD
- 4S. RouillerD
- 15M. BurchD
- 18B. MazikouD
- 9M. StevanovićM
- 6Pedro NaressiM
- 20Jarell Njike SimoM
- 21J. KarlssonM
- 27D. FofanaF
- 7K. MutandwaF
- 34T. AllixD
- 17Houboulang MendesD
- 28D. DoulineM
- 44Louis RiederG
- 22M. LambourdeF
- 36Thomas LopesM
- 90S. MrázF
- 14L. NjohD
- 77T. OuattaraF
Form going into BSC Young Boys vs Servette FC
BSC Young Boys
Super League
- D2-2away to FC Lugano12 September 2026
- D3-3FC Luzern5 September 2026
Servette FC
Super League
- W4-2away to FC Thun16 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lausanne13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 18 | +17 | 25 |
| 5 | Servette FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: BSC Young Boys vs Servette FC
- 12 April 2026BSC Young Boys 1–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 30 November 2025Servette FC 4–4 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 26 July 2025BSC Young Boys 3–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 11 May 2025Servette FC 0–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 1 April 2025Servette FC 0–1 BSC Young BoysSuper League
Leading scorers: BSC Young Boys and Servette FC
BSC Young Boys
GoalsAssists
- S. Essende123
- C. Fassnacht51
- A. Sanches34
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
BSC Young Boys beat Servette FC 3–2. The model had made a win for BSC Young Boys its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Marco Burch 13' for Servette FC, Kingstone Mutandwa 30' for Servette FC, Alan Virginius 39' for BSC Young Boys, Samuel Essende 69' for BSC Young Boys, Samuel Essende 83' for BSC Young Boys.
How the call on BSC Young Boys v Servette FC has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 41% / 29% / 30%: the biggest move is BSC Young Boys's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- BSC Young Boys win41%▼ −4
- Draw29%▲ +2
- Servette FC win30%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.