FC Sion vs FC Zurich Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Sion 1-1 FC Zurich.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% FC Sion, 26% draw, 24% FC Zurich — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Sion at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Sion vs FC Zurich
Line-ups
- 1A. RacioppiG
- 14N. LavanchyD
- 5N. SowD
- 17J. KronigD
- 20N. HeftiD
- 37F. SyllaM
- 88A. KabacalmanM
- 8Baltazar CostaM
- 7I. ChouarefF
- 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
- 9J. LukembilaF
- 21L. ChipperfieldM
- 29T. BerdayesF
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 38R. KesslerD
- 10B. KololliM
- 24Damien MoschingerD
- 33R. NivokaziF
- 12F. RubertoG
- 19F. SurdezF
- 1Silas HuberG
- 47Doron LichtensteinD
- 2L. KamberiD
- 21L. SchodlerD
- 43N. VolkenD
- 23V. BerishaM
- 8L. ComenenciaM
- 38M. ReichmuthM
- 7B. KrasniqiM
- 11U. EmmanuelM
- 19P. KenyF
- 18M. BangouraM
- 33Valentin BeckD
- 14N. Di GiustoM
- 6C. FioriniM
- 13H. LindnerG
- 49D. RamićF
- 4J. SeguraD
- 17K. SpadanudaM
- 46J. StielM
Form going into FC Sion vs FC Zurich
FC Sion
Super League
- W5-2away to Grasshoppers15 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC St. Gallen12 September 2026
FC Zurich
Super League
- W2-1FC Vaduz13 September 2026
- D2-2away to Grasshoppers5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sion | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Sion vs FC Zurich
- 14 March 2026FC Zurich 1–2 FC SionSuper League
- 23 November 2025FC Sion 2–2 FC ZurichSuper League
- 25 July 2025FC Zurich 2–3 FC SionSuper League
- 4 May 2025FC Sion 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 15 February 2025FC Sion 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Sion and FC Zurich
FC Sion
GoalsAssists
- Winsley Boteli Mokango64
- J. Lukembila34
FC Zurich
GoalsAssists
- P. Keny51
- U. Emmanuel43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Sion and FC Zurich drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Sion at 50% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Philippe Paulin Keny (penalty) 5' for FC Zurich, Winsley Boteli Mokango (penalty) 38' for FC Sion. Sent off: Fodé Sylla (FC Sion) 27'.
How the call on FC Sion v FC Zurich has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 47% / 27% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is FC Sion's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- FC Sion win50%▲ +3
- Draw26%▼ −1
- FC Zurich win24%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.