Železničar Pančevo vs Macva Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Železničar Pančevo 2-0 Macva.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Železničar Pančevo, 32% draw, 29% Macva — fair odds of 2.56, 3.13 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Železničar Pančevo at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Železničar Pančevo vs Macva
Line-ups
- 1Z. PopovićG
- 19U. TegeltijaD
- 6M. MilikićD
- 5N. VidojevićD
- 33N. ĐuričićD
- 20J. JevremovićM
- 17A. KuljaninM
- 88C. LhernaultM
- 77K. ŠekularacM
- 10S. PedroM
- 90K. KwakuF
- 12A. YusifD
- 9L. AdžićM
- 21D. AnkeyeF
- 7M. ĆurićM
- 11N. JovanovićF
- 63S. ObradovićD
- 95S. PlavšićM
- 47Yassin SbaiF
- 3C. TchouanteD
- 89V. JovanovićG
- 4V. IlicD
- 19I. RistivojevićD
- 15S. SladojevićD
- 44N. StevanovićD
- 5Darko TerzićM
- 8B. VraštanovićM
- 10M. ErgelašM
- 30Đorđe ĐorđićM
- 27L. PejovićM
- 99N. DelibasicF
- 23M. ZupanjacD
- 20A. HamaduF
- 26U. DrezgićD
- 33U. BlagojevićD
- 6J. JevremovićM
- 28S. JovicG
- 34Danilo KneževićM
- 35Issa KoneD
- 11V. RakićM
Form going into Železničar Pančevo vs Macva
Železničar Pančevo
- L0-2away to Novi Pazar4 September 2026
- W5-1Radnik Surdulica29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Vojvodina23 August 2026
- D2-2away to OFK Beograd9 August 2026
Macva
- D0-0Radnicki 19235 September 2026
- D1-1away to Novi Pazar29 August 2026
- W1-0Radnicki NIS22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radnik Surdulica15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Železničar Pančevo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 11 |
| 12 | Macva | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Železničar Pančevo vs Macva
- 27 March 2023Macva 2–0 Železničar PančevoPrva Liga
- 26 October 2022Železničar Pančevo 3–1 MacvaPrva Liga
- 10 November 2021Macva 0–1 Železničar PančevoPrva Liga
- 14 August 2021Železničar Pančevo 1–1 MacvaPrva Liga
Leading scorers: Železničar Pančevo and Macva
Železničar Pančevo
- K. Kwaku3 goals2 assists
Macva
- M. Vidakov3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.