Regular Season - 13 · 21 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon'-Brovar Premier League prediction

Valeriy Lobanovsky Dynamo Stadium, Kiev

Our model says: Dynamo Kyiv 2–0 Obolon'-Brovar

The model makes it 75% Dynamo Kyiv, 16% draw, 9% Obolon'-Brovar — fair odds of 1.33, 6.25 and 11.11.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).

Expected goals: Dynamo Kyiv 2.82, Obolon'-Brovar 0.67.

Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

One-sided: Dynamo Kyiv are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Dynamo Kyiv's rating is built from 41 Ukrainian Premier League matches and Obolon'-Brovar's from 40, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Dynamo Kyiv are 3rd on 23 points from 11 games; Obolon'-Brovar are 14th on 8 points from 11 games — Premier League.
  • Dynamo Kyiv are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Shakhtar Donetsk.
  • Obolon'-Brovar are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Livyi Bereh.
  • Last 6 meetings: Dynamo Kyiv 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 13 March 2026, ended Dynamo Kyiv 2–1 Obolon'-Brovar.

More Ukrainian Premier League predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon'-Brovar

46%
Both teams to score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Dynamo Kyiv win Draw Obolon'-Brovar win
  1. 2–012%
  2. 3–011%
  3. 1–08%
  4. 2–18%
  5. 4–08%
  6. 3–18%
  7. 1–16%

Scores read Dynamo Kyiv first; the other scorelines share the remaining 39%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Dynamo Kyiv at 75%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon'-Brovar

Dynamo Kyiv

Premier League

  • D0-0away to Shakhtar Donetsk8 November 2026
  • W2-0away to Kryvbas KR2 November 2026
  • W3-1Kudrivka23 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Polessya18 October 2026
  • W1-0Karpaty11 October 2026

Obolon'-Brovar

Premier League

  • D1-1Livyi Bereh6 November 2026
  • L0-2away to Shakhtar Donetsk30 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Polessya23 October 2026
  • W2-0Veres Rivne16 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Chornomorets18 September 2026

What these results say

  • Dynamo Kyiv scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Obolon'-Brovar failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Obolon'-Brovar conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Obolon'-Brovar had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Dynamo Kyiv11722169+723
14Obolon'-Brovar11155518-138

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Dynamo Kyiv

Chance to finish in the top four · 81% today

Win 82%
Draw 75%
Defeat 70%

Obolon'-Brovar

Chance to finish in the bottom four · 75% today

Win 61%
Draw 70%
Defeat 77%

From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon'-Brovar

  • 13 March 2026Dynamo Kyiv 2–1 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
  • 13 September 2025Obolon'-Brovar 2–2 Dynamo KyivPremier League
  • 18 April 2025Dynamo Kyiv 3–0 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
  • 19 October 2024Obolon'-Brovar 1–5 Dynamo KyivPremier League
  • 11 December 2023Dynamo Kyiv 2–0 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
  • 27 September 2023Obolon'-Brovar 1–0 Dynamo KyivCup

Leading scorers: Dynamo Kyiv and Obolon'-Brovar

Dynamo Kyiv

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ponomarenko60

Obolon'-Brovar

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dynamo Kyiv a 7.6% chance of the title and Obolon'-Brovar 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Dynamo Kyiv Obolon'-Brovar
0.88 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.45
1.23 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.97
2.82 Model expected goals (this match) 0.67

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Dynamo Kyiv the highest probability at 75%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.82 expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv against 0.67 for Obolon'-Brovar. Dynamo Kyiv's attack/defence rating is 0.88/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.97 for Obolon'-Brovar.

Dynamo Kyiv carry a model rating of 6.68 against 6.11 for Obolon'-Brovar.

How the model reaches 75% for Dynamo Kyiv to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Dynamo Kyiv to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Dynamo Kyiv's ratings add 17 points and Obolon'-Brovar's ratings add 14 points, which lands on the published 75%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. Dynamo Kyiv's ratings61%+17
  4. Obolon'-Brovar's ratings75%+14

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Dynamo KyivObolon'-Brovar
11Matches11
7W 2D 2LRecord1W 5D 5L
16 1.5 per gameGoals scored5 0.5 per game
9 0.8 per gameGoals conceded18 1.6 per game
6 of 11Clean sheets4 of 11
3 of 11Failed to score7 of 11
2 of 2Penalties scored–
26 2.4 per gameYellow cards26 2.4 per game
2Red cards1
4-1-4-1 7×Usual shape4-2-3-1 6×

Dynamo Kyiv at home · Obolon'-Brovar away

5Played9
4W 1D 0LRecord0W 4D 5L
9–2Goals for – against2–17
3 of 5Clean sheets3 of 9

League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Premier League matches this season: Dynamo Kyiv 11, Obolon'-Brovar 11.

Dynamo Kyiv scored 033335
Obolon'-Brovar conceded 623242

Dynamo Kyiv score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Obolon'-Brovar have let in 2 there.

Obolon'-Brovar scored 010012
Dynamo Kyiv conceded 130112

Obolon'-Brovar score most often in the 76–90 minute window (2 goals); Dynamo Kyiv have let in 2 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Dynamo Kyiv

  • vs Chornomorets28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 65%
  • vs Livyi Bereh2 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 61%
  • at FC Kharkiv5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 30%
  • at Livyi Bereh12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 45%
  • vs Veres Rivne27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 73%

Obolon'-Brovar

  • vs Zorya Luhansk28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 28%
  • vs Karpaty5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 19%
  • vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 35%
  • vs Bukovyna27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 36%
  • vs Kudrivka6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 42%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.