9 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Raatin stadion, Oulu
Full time0 – 1

Final score: AC Oulu 0-1 HJK Helsinki.

Before kick-off the model made it 80% AC Oulu, 11% draw, 9% HJK Helsinki — fair odds of 1.25, 9.09 and 11.11.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

AC Oulu at 80%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

AC Oulu1%Draw10%HJK Helsinki89%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Markus Arsalo
20'
44'
⚽M. Gueye
🔁A. Koneout: C. Triana
46'
🔁M. Arsaloout: I. Mendolin
49'
63'
Martin Kirilov
🔁L. Ghezaliout: N. Jokelainen
66'
🔁E. Kallioout: K. Jatta
66'
66'
🔁T. Pukkiout: M. Borchers
66'
🔁S. Haaralaout: L. Moller
Kalifa Jatta
77'
Miguel Santos
79'
79'
Ville Tikkanen
80'
Lucas Lingman
80'
🔁M. Gueyeout: A. Ring
80'
🔁A. Cicaleout: T. Mero
88'
🔁K. Simojokiout: L. Montano

Line-ups

AC Oulu 4-3-3
  • 13M. SantosG
  • 22T. KaukuaM
  • 3A. LietsaD
  • 66J. PirinenD
  • 18A. CassamaM
  • 11L. GhezaliM
  • 25M. ArsaloM
  • 6J. PaananenM
  • 7R. KarjalainenM
  • 32A. KoneM
  • 27E. KallioM
Substitutes
  • 99N. SchulzG
  • 14N. JokelainenM
  • 10C. TrianaF
  • 29S. SilanderD
  • 21I. MendolinM
  • 8M. OjalaM
  • 5M. PitkanenD
  • 2S. SipolaD
  • 20K. JattaM
Coach: Mikko Isokangas
HJK Helsinki 4-2-3-1
  • 44M. MarkovicG
  • 28M. YlitolvaD
  • 6V. TikkanenD
  • 3T. CissokhoD
  • 13K. SimojokiD
  • 32M. Gueye
  • 10L. LingmanM
  • 29S. HaaralaF
  • 17M. KirilovM
  • 7A. CicaleM
  • 20T. PukkiF
Substitutes
  • 1J. OstG
  • 4A. RingM
  • 14L. MontanoD
  • 18T. MeroM
  • 5A. NalloD
  • 9M. BorchersF
  • 22L. MollerM
  • 8P. MentuM
Coach: Joonas Rantanen

Form going into AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki

AC Oulu

No earlier matches on record this season.

HJK Helsinki

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Motherwell6 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Coleraine FC30 July 2026
  • W5-0Coleraine FC23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Finnish Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4AC Oulu32146124140+148
2HJK Helsinki3217876639+2759

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki

  • 11 April 2026HJK Helsinki 0–1 AC OuluFinnish Premier League
  • 14 March 2026AC Oulu 2–1 HJK HelsinkiLeague Cup
  • 21 August 2025HJK Helsinki 1–0 AC OuluSuomen Cup
  • 20 July 2025HJK Helsinki 3–1 AC OuluFinnish Premier League
  • 14 June 2025AC Oulu 0–4 HJK HelsinkiFinnish Premier League

Leading scorers: AC Oulu and HJK Helsinki

AC Oulu

GoalsAssists

  • R. Karjalainen56

HJK Helsinki

GoalsAssists

  • M. Borchers173
  • T. Pukki46
  • S. Haarala42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.