Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Malmo FF 1-2 Degerfors IF.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% Malmo FF, 15% draw, 9% Degerfors IF — fair odds of 1.32, 6.67 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Malmo FF at 76%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
Line-ups
- 1Robin OlsenG
- 17Jens Stryger LarsenD
- 5Andrej ĐurićD
- 44Malte PalssonD
- 47Theodor LundberghD
- 7Otto RosengrenM
- 45Anton HöögM
- 40Kenan BusuladžićM
- 37Adrian SkogmarM
- 29Sead HakšabanovićM
- 20Erik BotheimF
- 9Diego GarcíaF
- 2Johan KarlssonD
- 39Isaac AssibuF
- 32Daníel Tristan GuðjohnsenF
- 27Johan DahlinG
- 51Vicente HidalgoD
- 42Viggo JeppssonM
- 28Jovan MilosavljevićM
- 38Matvei IgonenG
- 16Sebastian OhlssonD
- 2Ahmad FaqaD
- 3Nikolai SkusethD
- 4Kazper KarlssonD
- 18Samba DiataraD
- 23Robin DzabicM
- 22Nahom GirmaiM
- 20Elias BarsoumM
- 17Arman TaranisF
- 11Dijan VukojevicF
- 14Ludvig FritzsonF
- 7Sebastian OhlssonD
- 9Karim BouteraF
- 15Nasiru MoroD
- 24Olle LeonardssonF
- 1Wille JakobssonG
- 28Jesús HernándezD
- 19Alexander LindgrenM
Form going into Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to IF Brommapojkarna2 August 2026
- L1-2IF Elfsborg26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Kalmar FF20 July 2026
Degerfors IF
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to IFK Goteborg2 August 2026
- L0-1Djurgardens IF25 July 2026
- L0-4away to Hammarby FF19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Malmo FF | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 41 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
- 4 July 2026Degerfors IF 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 31 August 2025Malmo FF 1–1 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 11 May 2025Degerfors IF 1–4 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 23 September 2023Degerfors IF 1–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 5 June 2023Malmo FF 5–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Malmo FF and Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
GoalsAssists
- E. Botheim103
Degerfors IF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Degerfors IF won 2–1 at Malmo FF. The model had leaned towards a win for Malmo FF at 76% and given a win for Degerfors IF 9%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 11 matches like this one. The goals: D. Vukojevic 18' for Degerfors IF, D. Garcia 48' for Malmo FF, D. Vukojevic 70' for Degerfors IF.