Regular Season - 10 · 23 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Krasava Ypsonas vs Anorthosis 1. Division prediction

Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca

Our model says: Krasava Ypsonas 1–0 Anorthosis

The model makes it 40% Krasava Ypsonas, 29% draw, 31% Anorthosis — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Krasava Ypsonas 1.35, Anorthosis 1.11.

Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Krasava Ypsonas's rating is built from 42 Cypriot First Division matches and Anorthosis's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Krasava Ypsonas are bottom on 5 points from 9 games; Anorthosis are 11th on 6 points from 9 games — 1. Division.
  • Krasava Ypsonas are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat away to AEL.
  • Anorthosis have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Omonia Nicosia.
  • Last 3 meetings: Anorthosis 2 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 8 May 2026, ended Anorthosis 5–2 Krasava Ypsonas.

More Cypriot First Division predictions

All Cypriot First Division predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Krasava Ypsonas vs Anorthosis

50%
Both teams to score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Krasava Ypsonas win Draw Anorthosis win
  1. 1–113%
  2. 1–011%
  3. 0–09%
  4. 0–19%
  5. 2–19%
  6. 2–08%
  7. 1–27%

Scores read Krasava Ypsonas first; the other scorelines share the remaining 35%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Krasava Ypsonas at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Krasava Ypsonas vs Anorthosis

Krasava Ypsonas

1. Division

  • L1-3away to AEL7 November 2026
  • D2-2AEK Larnaca31 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Olympiakos24 October 2026
  • W2-1Karmiotissa17 October 2026
  • L1-3Apollon Limassol10 October 2026

Anorthosis

1. Division

  • L0-2Omonia Nicosia8 November 2026
  • L1-2away to Aris1 November 2026
  • W2-0Omonia Aradippou24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Omonia 29is Maiou18 October 2026
  • L1-3Pafos11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Krasava Ypsonas scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Krasava Ypsonas conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Krasava Ypsonas.
  • Anorthosis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Anorthosis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Cyprus 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Krasava Ypsonas9126920-115
11Anorthosis9207717-106

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Krasava Ypsonas

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 72% today

Win 64%
Draw 75%
Defeat 81%

Anorthosis

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 40% today

Win 29%
Draw 40%
Defeat 47%

From our 1. Division season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Krasava Ypsonas vs Anorthosis

  • 8 May 2026Anorthosis 5–2 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division
  • 13 February 2026Anorthosis 1–1 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division
  • 2 November 2025Krasava Ypsonas 0–1 Anorthosis1. Division

Leading scorers: Krasava Ypsonas and Anorthosis

Krasava Ypsonas

GoalsAssists

  • S. Tabekou21
  • Yassine Bahassa11

Anorthosis

No player in 1. Division's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Where the model differs from the table

The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Anorthosis (11th, with Krasava Ypsonas 14th), while our numbers lean to Krasava Ypsonas. Krasava Ypsonas rate 0.60 in attack and 1.67 in defence, Anorthosis 0.55 and 1.38 (lower is better in defence), so Krasava Ypsonas have been the better side in attack on recent expected goals, which the 1-point gap in the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Krasava Ypsonas Anorthosis
0.6 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.55
1.67 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.38
1.35 Model expected goals (this match) 1.11

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Krasava Ypsonas the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Krasava Ypsonas against 1.11 for Anorthosis. Krasava Ypsonas's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.67 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.38 for Anorthosis.

Krasava Ypsonas carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.4 for Anorthosis. A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

How the model reaches 40% for Krasava Ypsonas to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Krasava Ypsonas to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Krasava Ypsonas's ratings take away 1 point and Anorthosis's ratings take away 2 points, which lands on the published 40%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. Both sides at this match's level43%−1
  4. Krasava Ypsonas's ratings42%−1
  5. Anorthosis's ratings40%−2

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Krasava YpsonasAnorthosis
9Matches9
1W 2D 6LRecord2W 0D 7L
9 1.0 per gameGoals scored7 0.8 per game
20 2.2 per gameGoals conceded17 1.9 per game
0 of 9Clean sheets1 of 9
2 of 9Failed to score4 of 9
2 of 3Penalties scored2 of 2
26 2.9 per gameYellow cards15 1.7 per game
1Red cards1
4-4-2 2×Usual shape3-4-3 6×

Krasava Ypsonas at home · Anorthosis away

5Played5
1W 1D 3LRecord0W 0D 5L
5–10Goals for – against2–11
0 of 5Clean sheets0 of 5

League matches only, 1. Division, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All 1. Division matches this season: Krasava Ypsonas 9, Anorthosis 9.

Krasava Ypsonas scored 016011
Anorthosis conceded 124713

Krasava Ypsonas score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Anorthosis have let in 4 there.

Anorthosis scored 022002
Krasava Ypsonas conceded 232319

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Krasava Ypsonas

  • at Apoel Nicosia28 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 14%
  • vs Nea Salamis3 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 38%
  • at Pafos6 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 13%
  • at Omonia 29is Maiou12 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 23%
  • vs Omonia Aradippou21 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 41%

Anorthosis

  • vs Karmiotissa28 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 52%
  • at Olympiakos2 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 21%
  • vs AEK Larnaca7 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 20%
  • vs AEL13 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 37%
  • vs Apollon Limassol19 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 26%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.