20 September 2026, 17:15 UTC

Kortrijk vs SK Beveren Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Kortrijk 1-0 SK Beveren.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Kortrijk, 28% draw, 42% SK Beveren — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts SK Beveren at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kortrijk96%Draw4%SK Beveren0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
Johannes Schenk
36'
🔁Chris Lokesaout: Josua Lusamba
⚽Jamie Roche
52'
James Willy Ndjeungoue
57'
Thierry Ambrose
58'
60'
🔁Jearl Margarithaout: Ferre Slegers
60'
🔁Moïse Elohim Victoire Kaboréout: Arno Verschueren
Brecht Dejaegere
73'
73'
Christophe Janssens
🔁Shandre Campbellout: Suf Podgoreanu
74'
🔁Nzubechi Sixtus Ogbuehiout: Goduine Koyalipou
74'
82'
🔁Christian Brulsout: Lennart Mertens
82'
🔁Sieben Dewaeleout: Guillaume De Schryver
Jamie Roche
83'
🔁Brecht Dejaegereout: Boris Lambert
87'
🔁Thierry Ambroseout: Ken Masui
87'
🔁Jellert Van Landschootout: Lenn De Smet
90+1'

Match stats — Kortrijk vs SK Beveren

43%Possession57%
20Shots7
4On target1
2Corners4

Line-ups

Kortrijk 4-4-2
  • 31M. IlićG
  • 8N. MehssatouD
  • 4Harrison Murray-CampbellD
  • 21A. DrouhinD
  • 5J. NdjeungoueD
  • 11S. CampbellM
  • 19B. DejaegereM
  • 24J. RocheM
  • 18J. Van LandschootM
  • 90N. OgbuehiF
  • 68T. AmbroseF
Substitutes
  • 15Mohamed FofanaD
  • 14Lenn De SmetF
  • 1P. GunnarssonG
  • 10G. KoyalipouF
  • 35B. LambertM
  • 71K. MasuiM
  • 70A. PhillipsM
  • 7S. PodgoreanuF
  • 22G. RuyssenD
Coach: Christophe Lepoint
SK Beveren 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. SchenkG
  • 21L. JansD
  • 77S. KellerD
  • 31B. GodeauD
  • 4C. JanssensD
  • 18S. DewaeleM
  • 44C. CondeM
  • 5C. LokesaM
  • 22C. BrülsM
  • 17J. MargarithaM
  • 9M. KaboréF
Substitutes
  • 25C. KonatéD
  • 14L. KuavitaM
  • 84J. LusambaG
  • 92L. MertensF
  • 48J. RobatschD
  • 8F. SlegersM
  • 2D. ThompsonD
  • 24A. VerschuerenM
  • 10G. De SchryverM
Coach: T. Bakens

Form going into Kortrijk vs SK Beveren

Kortrijk

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-3away to RAAL La Louvière13 September 2026
  • L0-2Zulte Waregem6 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Anderlecht3 September 2026

SK Beveren

Jupiler Pro League

  • W2-0St. Truiden12 September 2026
  • W3-0OH Leuven6 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Kortrijk8107218-163
12SK Beveren93151218-610

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kortrijk vs SK Beveren

  • 11 April 2026SK Beveren 1–0 KortrijkChallenger Pro League
  • 5 October 2025Kortrijk 1–3 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
  • 1 July 2023Kortrijk 0–2 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 July 2023Kortrijk 0–2 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Kortrijk and SK Beveren

Kortrijk

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

SK Beveren

GoalsAssists

  • C. Lokesa50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kortrijk beat SK Beveren 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for SK Beveren at 42% and given a win for Kortrijk 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Jamie Roche 52' for Kortrijk. Sent off: Johannes Schenk (SK Beveren) 32'.

How the call on Kortrijk v SK Beveren has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 42% / 30% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 30% / 28% / 42%: the biggest move is SK Beveren's chance of winning, up 14 points.

  1. Kortrijk win30%▼ −12
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. SK Beveren win42%▲ +14

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.