Kortrijk
vs
SK Beveren
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: Kortrijk 0–1 SK Beveren
The model makes it 33% Kortrijk, 29% draw, 38% SK Beveren — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Kortrijk 1.26, SK Beveren 1.43.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Kortrijk vs SK Beveren
Every scoreline the model considered
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell is one exact result, shaded against the likeliest one; figures below 1% are left blank rather than rounded to zero. Blue cells are Kortrijk wins, grey are draws, red are SK Beveren wins — the three shaded areas ARE the 1/X/2 split above, which is the sum of the cells in each. The most likely scoreline is simply the darkest cell inside whichever area the model favours.
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SK Beveren at 38% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Kortrijk vs SK Beveren
Kortrijk
- L0-3away to RAAL La Louvière13 September 2026
- L0-2Zulte Waregem6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Anderlecht3 September 2026
- L1-3Charleroi29 August 2026
- L0-3Antwerp15 August 2026
SK Beveren
- W2-0St. Truiden12 September 2026
- W3-0OH Leuven6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Genk28 August 2026
- L0-4away to Zulte Waregem22 August 2026
- W1-0Anderlecht16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kortrijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 0 |
| 8 | SK Beveren | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Kortrijk vs SK Beveren
- 11 April 2026SK Beveren 1–0 KortrijkChallenger Pro League
- 5 October 2025Kortrijk 1–3 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
- 1 July 2023Kortrijk 0–2 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
- 1 July 2023Kortrijk 0–2 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
- 11 April 2021SK Beveren 3–4 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Kortrijk and SK Beveren
Kortrijk
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
SK Beveren
- C. Lokesa3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Kortrijk carry a model rating of 6.52 against 6.73 for SK Beveren. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.26 goals for Kortrijk and 1.43 for SK Beveren. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Kortrijk rate 0.67 in attack and 1.30 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; SK Beveren rate 0.91 and 1.16.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Kortrijk a 0% chance of the title and SK Beveren 0.2%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives SK Beveren the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Kortrijk against 1.43 for SK Beveren. Kortrijk's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.3 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.91/1.16 for SK Beveren.