Club Brugge KV vs Genk Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Club Brugge KV 3-0 Genk.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Club Brugge KV, 29% draw, 28% Genk — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Brugge KV at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Brugge KV vs Genk
Line-ups
- 1Y. SommerG
- 64K. SabbeD
- 3Lee Han-BeomD
- 44B. MecheleD
- 65J. SeysD
- 8F. PottsM
- 20H. VanakenM
- 9Carlos ForbsM
- 10H. VetlesenM
- 11Jan VirgiliM
- 7N. TresoldiF
- 54S. CoulibalyD
- 32M. DamsD
- 67M. DiakhonF
- 85T. N. KorenM
- 80F. LemaréchalM
- 58J. SpileersD
- 16C. TsawaM
- 81Argus Vanden DriesscheG
- 17R. VermantF
- 28L. Kiaba MoungangaG
- 20K. AmaroD
- 6M. SmetsD
- 44J. KongoloD
- 18J. KayembeD
- 4B. TahirovićM
- 8B. HeynenM
- 10J. ItoM
- 11J. ErenbjergM
- 32Noah Adedeji-SternbergM
- 17R. DurosinmiF
- 30A. YokoyamaF
- 24N. SattlbergerM
- 25M. RoganovićD
- 5C. RavychD
- 1T. LeysenG
- 23A. BiboutF
- 38D. HeymansM
- 21I. BangouraM
- 33J. AfriyieF
Form going into Club Brugge KV vs Genk
Club Brugge KV
Jupiler Pro League
- W3-1Antwerp13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lommel United4 September 2026
Genk
Jupiler Pro League
- D1-1Gent13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Anderlecht6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | +16 | 24 |
| 6 | Genk | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Brugge KV vs Genk
- 26 December 2025Genk 3–5 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 27 July 2025Club Brugge KV 2–1 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 11 May 2025Genk 0–2 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 13 April 2025Club Brugge KV 1–0 GenkJupiler Pro League
- 5 February 2025Genk 1–1 Club Brugge KVCup
Leading scorers: Club Brugge KV and Genk
Club Brugge KV
GoalsAssists
- N. Tresoldi70
- H. Vetlesen40
Genk
GoalsAssists
- R. Durosinmi60
- A. Bibout30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club Brugge KV beat Genk 3–0. The model had made a win for Club Brugge KV its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Carlos Forbs 15' for Club Brugge KV, Lee Han-beom 58' for Club Brugge KV, Brandon Mechele 63' for Club Brugge KV.
How the call on Club Brugge KV v Genk has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 48% / 27% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 43% / 29% / 28%: the biggest move is Club Brugge KV's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Club Brugge KV win43%▼ −5
- Draw29%▲ +2
- Genk win28%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.