Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Antwerp 0-2 Union St. Gilloise.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Antwerp, 26% draw, 48% Union St. Gilloise — fair odds of 3.85, 3.85 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Union St. Gilloise at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise
Line-ups
- 41T. NozawaG
- 44M. BusiD
- 20R. Van HeldenD
- 3Álvaro Cortés MoyanoD
- 28Luca SchelfhoutD
- 48A. VermeerenM
- 25M. FofanaM
- 6B. DeuffM
- 14X. DierckxM
- 10C. ScottF
- 9M. FreyF
- 8M. BenítezM
- 81N. DevalckeneerG
- 5D. FoulonD
- 99Luis NarhF
- 33S. PorozoM
- 7I. SalahF
- 24T. SomersF
- 4Y. TsunashimaM
- 80Carlos MejiaF
- 12H. KoffiG
- 55N. HavenaarD
- 29M. SyllaD
- 80O. KričfalušiD
- 6K. Van de PerreM
- 27L. PatrisM
- 23B. ZeneliM
- 8A. ZorganeM
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva CarvalhoM
- 38R. MofokengF
- 9M. BiondicF
- 21D. De RoeveD
- 30R. FloruczF
- 25I. HurteventF
- 18G. KavelashviliG
- 28D. OlaruM
- 14I. PavlićM
- 13K. RodríguezF
- 17R. SchoofsM
- 4N. ChibaniD
Form going into Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
- L1-3away to Club Brugge KV13 September 2026
- L0-1away to Standard Liege5 September 2026
Union St. Gilloise
Jupiler Pro League
- W5-0Lommel United12 September 2026
- W3-2away to Charleroi5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Antwerp | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 3 | Union St. Gilloise | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 6 | +21 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise
- 21 February 2026Union St. Gilloise 2–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 25 July 2025Antwerp 1–1 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- 17 May 2025Antwerp 0–4 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- 29 March 2025Union St. Gilloise 5–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 8 January 2025Antwerp 5–1 Union St. GilloiseCup
Leading scorers: Antwerp and Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
GoalsAssists
- M. Frey40
Union St. Gilloise
GoalsAssists
- R. Florucz50
- R. Mofokeng42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Union St. Gilloise won 2–0 at Antwerp. The model had made a win for Union St. Gilloise its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Mateo Biondic 51' for Union St. Gilloise, Denzel De Roeve 78' for Union St. Gilloise. Sent off: Bahmed Deuff (Antwerp) 69'.
How the call on Antwerp v Union St. Gilloise has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 34% / 30% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 26% / 26% / 48%: the biggest move is Union St. Gilloise's chance of winning, up 12 points.
- Antwerp win26%▼ −8
- Draw26%▼ −4
- Union St. Gilloise win48%▲ +12
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.