Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Pardubice 1-1 Mlada Boleslav.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Pardubice, 23% draw, 25% Mlada Boleslav — fair odds of 1.92, 4.35 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Pardubice at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 46V. NeumanG
- 24T. SolilD
- 44S. BammensD
- 12J. TredlD
- 15E. GodwinM
- 8S. SimekM
- 16T. JelinekM
- 40T. BoledovicM
- 17V. DrchalF
- 19M. HlavatyF
- 10V. PatrakF
- 1J. SerakG
- 25R. MahutaD
- 92B. SlyubykD
- 43J. NoslinD
- 6M. IchaD
- 7D. SimonM
- 27M. ReilD
- 11J. ZimaM
- 9D. SmekalF
- 59J. FloderG
- 13D. DonatD
- 44O. KarafiatD
- 3M. KralikD
- 11M. HybsD
- 19D. KozelM
- 76J. Zika
- 20S. JohnM
- 28D. LanghamerM
- 21M. Subert
- 23J. KlimaF
- 42V. VorelG
- 27A. KadlecD
- 26M. ZachovalD
- 24D. MaresD
- 49J. KolarikM
- 15N. PennerM
- 9L. LetenayF
- 70J. BuryanF
Form going into Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Slavia Praha9 August 2026
- L0-2FK Jablonec2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Hradec Králové26 July 2026
Mlada Boleslav
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Sparta Praha8 August 2026
- D2-2away to Sigma Olomouc2 August 2026
- W4-2away to Artis27 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav
- 14 March 2026Mlada Boleslav 2–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 18 October 2025Pardubice 2–1 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 17 May 2025Pardubice 2–1 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 22 February 2025Pardubice 0–3 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 22 September 2024Mlada Boleslav 2–2 PardubiceCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Pardubice and Mlada Boleslav
Pardubice
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Mlada Boleslav
GoalsAssists
- M. Šubert71
- J. Klíma41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pardubice and Mlada Boleslav drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Pardubice at 52% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: V. Patrak 10' for Pardubice, M. Subert 75' for Mlada Boleslav. On expected goals it finished 1.37–0.75.