Konyaspor
vs
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Süper Lig prediction
Our model says: Konyaspor 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.
The model makes it 44% Konyaspor, 29% draw, 27% Gençlerbirliği S.K. — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Konyaspor 1.43, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0.99.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
The full preview, with the complete head-to-head record →
Key facts
- Konyaspor are 16th on 5 points from 7 games; Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 13th on 8 points from 7 games — Süper Lig.
- Konyaspor are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Başakşehir.
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Amed.
- Last 5 meetings: Konyaspor 2 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 19 March 2026, ended Konyaspor 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K..
More Süper Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Konyaspor at 44% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Konyaspor
- D0-0Başakşehir11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Kasımpaşa18 September 2026
- W1-0Trabzonspor12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Erzurumspor FK5 September 2026
- L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- D2-2Amed10 October 2026
- L0-4away to Başakşehir19 September 2026
- L1-2Kasımpaşa13 September 2026
- L0-5away to Trabzonspor6 September 2026
- D1-1Erzurumspor FK28 August 2026
What these results say
- Konyaspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Konyaspor had two goals or fewer.
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gençlerbirliği S.K. had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Konyaspor
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 24% today
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 28% today
From our Süper Lig season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- 19 March 2026Konyaspor 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 26 October 2025Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 5 September 2021Konyaspor 0–3 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Friendlies Clubs
- 3 February 2021Konyaspor 0–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 19 September 2020Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Konyaspor carry a model rating of 6.58 against 6.5 for Gençlerbirliği S.K.. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.43 goals for Konyaspor and 0.99 for Gençlerbirliği S.K.. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Konyaspor rate 0.64 in attack and 1.13 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Gençlerbirliği S.K. rate 0.67 and 1.35.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Gençlerbirliği S.K., while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Konyaspor the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.43 expected goals for Konyaspor against 0.99 for Gençlerbirliği S.K.. Konyaspor's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.13 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.35 for Gençlerbirliği S.K..
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Konyaspor at home · Gençlerbirliği S.K. away
League matches only, Süper Lig, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
KonyasporGençlerbirliği S.K.
Konyaspor are 15th after 7 Süper Lig matches (between 13th and 18th so far); Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 11th after 7 (between 1st and 13th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Süper Lig matches this season: Konyaspor 7, Gençlerbirliği S.K. 7.
Konyaspor score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); Gençlerbirliği S.K. have let in 4 there.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Konyaspor have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Konyaspor
- vs Galatasaray30 Oct · Süper Ligwin 23%
- at Samsunspor7 Nov · Süper Ligwin 33%
- vs Beşiktaş22 Nov · Süper Ligwin 25%
- at Alanyaspor27 Nov · Süper Ligwin 26%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- vs Alanyaspor2 Nov · Süper Ligwin 33%
- at Beşiktaş8 Nov · Süper Ligwin 14%
- vs Gaziantep FK21 Nov · Süper Ligwin 42%
- at Samsunspor28 Nov · Süper Ligwin 30%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.