Rizespor
vs
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig prediction
Our model says: Rizespor 1–2 Trabzonspor
The model makes it 25% Rizespor, 25% draw, 50% Trabzonspor — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Rizespor 1.14, Trabzonspor 1.83.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Trabzonspor are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Match centre: line-ups, live score and match stats →
Key facts
- Rizespor are 10th on 10 points from 7 games; Trabzonspor are 5th on 13 points from 7 games — Süper Lig.
- Rizespor have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Fenerbahçe.
- Trabzonspor have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Samsunspor.
- Last 6 meetings: Trabzonspor 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 14 March 2026, ended Trabzonspor 1–0 Rizespor.
More Süper Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Trabzonspor at 50% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
Rizespor
- L0-3Fenerbahçe10 October 2026
- D2-2away to Göztepe20 September 2026
- W2-0away to Eyüpspor12 September 2026
- L0-1Alanyaspor7 September 2026
- W2-1away to Gaziantep FK29 August 2026
Trabzonspor
- W3-0away to Samsunspor10 October 2026
- W4-0Galatasaray19 September 2026
- L0-1away to Konyaspor12 September 2026
- W5-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Amed31 August 2026
What these results say
- Rizespor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Trabzonspor scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Trabzonspor had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Rizespor
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 12% today
Trabzonspor
Chance to finish in the top four · 63% today
From our Süper Lig season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
Rizespor and Trabzonspor have met 6 times in the records we hold, Trabzonspor has won 4 of them to Rizespor's 2.
The record
Trabzonspor won the last one 1–0 on 14 Mar 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Trabzonspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 18 goals, an average of 3.00 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 14 Mar 2026
Süper LigTrabzonspor 1–0 Rizespor - 18 Oct 2025
Süper LigRizespor 1–2 Trabzonspor - 13 Apr 2025
Süper LigTrabzonspor 2–0 Rizespor - 26 Feb 2025
Türkiye KupasıTrabzonspor 5–2 Rizespor - 9 Nov 2024
Süper LigRizespor 3–1 Trabzonspor - 25 Jan 2024
Süper LigRizespor 1–0 Trabzonspor
How the model rates them now
Attack and defence are multipliers on an average side: above 1.00 in attack means the club scores more than the average team in its competition, and below 1.00 in defence means it concedes fewer. The methodology sets out how they are derived, including where the model is known to be wrong.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 0.74 | 1.29 |
| Trabzonspor | 1.08 | 0.93 |
Leading scorers: Rizespor and Trabzonspor
Rizespor
GoalsAssists
- E. Bulut21
Trabzonspor
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Salah73
- E. Muçi22
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Rizespor carry a model rating of 6.57 against 6.92 for Trabzonspor. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.14 goals for Rizespor and 1.83 for Trabzonspor. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Rizespor rate 0.74 in attack and 1.29 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Trabzonspor rate 1.08 and 0.93.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Rizespor a 0% chance of the title and Trabzonspor 11.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,771 correct results out of 3,709 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Trabzonspor the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for Rizespor against 1.83 for Trabzonspor. Rizespor's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.29 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.08/0.93 for Trabzonspor.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Rizespor at home · Trabzonspor away
League matches only, Süper Lig, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
RizesporTrabzonspor
Rizespor are 9th after 7 Süper Lig matches (between 1st and 11th so far); Trabzonspor are 3rd after 7 (between 3rd and 10th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Süper Lig matches this season: Rizespor 7, Trabzonspor 7.
Rizespor score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Trabzonspor have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Rizespor
- at Kocaelispor31 Oct · Süper Ligwin 27%
- vs Erzurumspor FK8 Nov · Süper Ligwin 48%
- at Amed21 Nov · Süper Ligwin 18%
- vs Kasımpaşa27 Nov · Süper Ligwin 39%
Trabzonspor
- vs Gaziantep FK1 Nov · Süper Ligwin 67%
- vs SC Freiburg5 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 41%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.