Konyaspor
vs
Galatasaray
Süper Lig prediction
Our model says: Konyaspor 1–2 Galatasaray
The model makes it 23% Konyaspor, 25% draw, 52% Galatasaray — fair odds of 4.35, 4.00 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Konyaspor 1.14, Galatasaray 1.94.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Galatasaray are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
The full preview, with the complete head-to-head record →
Key facts
- Konyaspor are 16th on 5 points from 7 games; Galatasaray are top on 16 points from 7 games — Süper Lig.
- Konyaspor are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Başakşehir.
- Galatasaray have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-1 win at home to Kasımpaşa.
- Last 6 meetings: Galatasaray 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 21 February 2026, ended Konyaspor 2–0 Galatasaray.
More Süper Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Galatasaray at 52% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
Konyaspor
- D0-0Başakşehir11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Kasımpaşa18 September 2026
- W1-0Trabzonspor12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Erzurumspor FK5 September 2026
- L1-2Kocaelispor29 August 2026
Galatasaray
- W3-1Kasımpaşa9 October 2026
- L0-4away to Trabzonspor19 September 2026
- W1-0Kocaelispor13 September 2026
- W3-2away to Başakşehir4 September 2026
- W3-2Göztepe29 August 2026
What these results say
- Konyaspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Konyaspor had two goals or fewer.
- Galatasaray won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Galatasaray scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Galatasaray conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
- 21 February 2026Konyaspor 2–0 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 22 September 2025Galatasaray 3–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 22 April 2025Konyaspor 1–5 GalatasarayTürkiye Kupası
- 27 February 2025Galatasaray 0–0 KonyasporTürkiye Kupası
- 25 January 2025Galatasaray 1–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 16 August 2024Konyaspor 1–2 GalatasaraySüper Lig
Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Galatasaray
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Galatasaray
GoalsAssists
- V. Osimhen63
- Gabriel Sara22
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Konyaspor carry a model rating of 6.58 against 6.96 for Galatasaray. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.14 goals for Konyaspor and 1.94 for Galatasaray. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Konyaspor rate 0.64 in attack and 1.13 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Galatasaray rate 1.31 and 1.08.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Konyaspor a 0% chance of the title and Galatasaray 29.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,821 correct results out of 3,803 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Galatasaray the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for Konyaspor against 1.94 for Galatasaray. Konyaspor's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.13 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.31/1.08 for Galatasaray.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Konyaspor at home · Galatasaray away
League matches only, Süper Lig, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
KonyasporGalatasaray
Konyaspor are 15th after 7 Süper Lig matches (between 13th and 18th so far); Galatasaray are 1st after 7 (between 1st and 2nd). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Süper Lig matches this season: Konyaspor 7, Galatasaray 7.
Konyaspor score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); Galatasaray have let in 1 there.
Galatasaray score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Konyaspor have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Konyaspor
- at Samsunspor7 Nov · Süper Ligwin 33%
- vs Beşiktaş22 Nov · Süper Ligwin 25%
- at Alanyaspor27 Nov · Süper Ligwin 26%
Galatasaray
- vs VfB Stuttgart3 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 47%
- vs Amed7 Nov · Süper Ligwin 53%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.