16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Brann vs Ham-Kam Eliteserien prediction & result

Brann Stadion, Bergen
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Brann 3-0 Ham-Kam.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Brann, 25% draw, 24% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Brann at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Brann99%Draw1%Ham-Kam0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Kristall Máni Ingason
4'
19'
Blerton Isufi
31'
•Blerton Isufi
33'
Martin Gjone
42'
🔁Blerton Isufiout: Markus Johnsgard
⚽Joachim Soltvedt
45+4'
Kristall Máni Ingason
62'
69'
🔁Anders Trondsenout: Snorre Strand Nilsen
69'
🔁Henrik Udahlout: Duarte Moreira
⚽Noah Jean Holmassist: Kristall Máni Ingason
73'
🔁Eggert Aron Guðmundssonout: Niklas Jensen Wassberg
74'
🔁Noah Jean Holmout: Bård Finne
78'
87'
🔁Fredrik Sjolstadout: Danilo Al-Saed
87'
🔁Aksel Baran Poturout: William Osnes-Ringen
⚽Bård Finneassist: Kristian Eriksen
90+5'
🔁Kristall Máni Ingasonout: Kjartan Mar Kjartansson
90'

Match stats — Brann vs Ham-Kam

70%Possession30%
31Shots4
13On target0
10Corners1
2.32xG0.24

Goals against chances

Brann3 from 2.32 xGmore than the chances were worth
Ham-Kam0 from 0.24 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Brann
  • 1Mathias DyngelandG
  • 21Denzel De RoeveD
  • 23Thore PedersenD
  • 20Vetle DragsnesD
  • 17Joachim SoltvedtD
  • 16Kristian EriksenM
  • 18Jacob Lungi SørensenM
  • 19Eggert Aron GuðmundssonM
  • 10Kristall Máni IngasonF
  • 29Noah Jean HolmF
  • 9Niklas CastroF
Substitutes
  • 25Niklas Jensen WassbergM
  • 11Bård FinneF
  • 7Kjartan Mar KjartanssonM
  • 12Simen Vidtun NilsenG
  • 6Cheick Mbacke DiopD
  • 37Sondre Blumenfeldt VindenesM
  • 43Brage Berg HaugenM
Coach: Eirik Horneland
Ham-Kam
  • 12Marcus SandbergG
  • 26Patrick MetcalfeD
  • 2Martin GjoneD
  • 23Fredrik SjolstadD
  • 3Ethan Amundsen-DayD
  • 7Viðar Ari JónssonD
  • 17Aksel Baran PoturM
  • 14Luc MaresM
  • 16Anders TrondsenM
  • 19Henrik UdahlF
  • 29Blerton IsufiF
Substitutes
  • 8Markus JohnsgardM
  • 22Snorre Strand NilsenD
  • 18Duarte MoreiraF
  • 6William Osnes-RingenM
  • 24Danilo Al-SaedF
  • 13Sander ØstraatG
  • 5Aleksander AndresenD
  • 10Loris MettlerM
Coach: Thomas Myhre

Form going into Brann vs Ham-Kam

Brann

All competitions we cover

  • W4-2away to Apollon Limassol11 August 2026
  • L0-1Apollon Limassol5 August 2026
  • W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026
  • W3-1Universitatea Cluj30 July 2026
  • L2-3Valerenga26 July 2026

Ham-Kam

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Aalesund9 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Valerenga31 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF26 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Bodo/Glimt22 July 2026
  • L1-4Tromso18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Brann conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Brann scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Brann had three goals or more.
  • Ham-Kam failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Ham-Kam conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Brann26103134744+333
11Ham-Kam2686123853-1530

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Brann vs Ham-Kam

  • 6 April 2026Ham-Kam 1–5 BrannEliteserien
  • 30 November 2025Brann 3–1 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 5 July 2025Ham-Kam 1–1 BrannEliteserien
  • 1 June 2024Ham-Kam 1–2 BrannEliteserien
  • 17 April 2024Brann 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien

Leading scorers: Brann and Ham-Kam

Brann

GoalsAssists

  • N. Holm83
  • K. Ingason83

Ham-Kam

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Brann beat Ham-Kam 3–0. The model had made a win for Brann its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Joachim Soltvedt 45+4' for Brann, Noah Jean Holm 73' for Brann, Bård Finne 90+5' for Brann. Sent off: Martin Gjone (Ham-Kam) 33'. On expected goals it finished 2.32–0.24.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.