15 August 2026, 13:00 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs Sirius Allsvenskan prediction & result

Strandvallen
Full time4 – 3

Final score: Mjallby AIF 4-3 Sirius.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Mjallby AIF, 21% draw, 43% Sirius — fair odds of 2.78, 4.76 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sirius at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mjallby AIF94%Draw6%Sirius0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽O. Liimatta
9'
M. Heier
24'
⚽O. Liimatta
26'
🔁O. Liimattaout: A. Ljungberg
J. Bergstrom
27'
34'
⚽I. Bjerkebo
39'
O. Krusnell
🔁L. Svanbergout: T. Miettinen
46'
🔁V. Granathout: M. Nielsen
46'
🔁I. Hoffmannout: O. Lindberg
46'
⚽O. Lindbergassist: M. Nielsen
46'
50'
T. Anker
T. Miettinen
53'
⚽J. Bergstromassist: A. Samuelsen
54'
58'
🔁N. Milleskogout: J. Persson
58'
🔁V. Svenssonout: C. Nilden
🔁J. Kjaerout: A. Youssef
76'
⚽J. Bergstromassist: A. Samuelsen
77'
83'
🔁I. Bjerkeboout: O. Adindu
🔁A. Samuelsenout: L. Tidstrand
84'
⚽O. Lindbergassist: M. Nielsen
87'

Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs Sirius

53%Possession47%
14Shots18
6On target5
7Corners8

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF 3-4-3
  • 13Robin WallinderG
  • 5Abdullah IqbalD
  • 2Ludvig SvanbergD
  • 24Tom PetterssonD
  • 14Villiam GranathM
  • 22Jesper GustavssonM
  • 7Viktor GustafsonM
  • 26Ian HoffmannM
  • 10Jeppe KjaerF
  • 18Jacob BergströmF
  • 23Áki SamuelsenF
Substitutes
  • 25Max NielsenD
  • 33Tony MiettinenD
  • 29Olle LindbergM
  • 9Ali YoussefF
  • 27Ludvig TidstrandM
  • 35Alexander LundinG
  • 4Axel NorénD
  • 39Romeo LeanderssonM
  • 3Martin AgnarssonD
Coach: Karl Aksum
Sirius 4-3-3
  • 34David CelicG
  • 5Henrik CastegrenD
  • 2Mohamed SoumahD
  • 4Tobias AnkerD
  • 22Oscar KrusnellD
  • 24Victor SvenssonM
  • 10Melker HeierM
  • 6Marcus LindbergM
  • 19Noel MilleskogF
  • 16Otso LiimattaF
  • 11Isak BjerkeboF
Substitutes
  • 36August LjungbergF
  • 21Charlie NildenM
  • 7Joakim PerssonF
  • 25Odera Samuel AdinduF
  • 1Ismael DiawaraG
  • 15Simon SandbergD
  • 20Victor EkstromD
  • 18Adam WikmanM
  • 23Finlay NeatF
Coach: Andreas Engelmark

Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Sirius

Mjallby AIF

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Slovan Bratislava11 August 2026
  • L0-1IF Elfsborg8 August 2026
  • L1-2Slovan Bratislava4 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Lincoln Red Imps FC28 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Kalmar FF25 July 2026

Sirius

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2IF Brommapojkarna10 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Halmstad3 August 2026
  • W4-1IFK Goteborg26 July 2026
  • W3-1away to IF Elfsborg19 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Mjallby AIF28610123043-1328
2Sirius2818465835+2358

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs Sirius

  • 3 July 2026Sirius 4–4 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 27 July 2025Mjallby AIF 2–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 14 July 2025Sirius 1–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 3 November 2024Sirius 1–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 6 July 2024Mjallby AIF 3–2 SiriusAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and Sirius

Mjallby AIF

GoalsAssists

  • J. Bergström100

Sirius

GoalsAssists

  • I. Bjerkebo157
  • R. Ure152

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Mjallby AIF beat Sirius 4–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Sirius at 43% and given a win for Mjallby AIF 36%. The goals: O. Liimatta 6' for Sirius, O. Liimatta 24' for Sirius, I. Bjerkebo 34' for Sirius, O. Lindberg 46' for Mjallby AIF, J. Bergstrom 54' for Mjallby AIF, J. Bergstrom 77' for Mjallby AIF, O. Lindberg 87' for Mjallby AIF.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.