Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Malmo FF 4-1 Orgryte IS.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Malmo FF, 31% draw, 33% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Malmo FF at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS
Line-ups
- 1R. OlsenG
- 17J. Stryger LarsenD
- 2S. GregersenD
- 44M. PålssonD
- 25BusanelloD
- 40K. BusuladžićM
- 7O. RosengrenM
- 37A. SkogmarM
- 47Theodor LundberghM
- 32D. GuðjohnsenF
- 45A. HoogF
- 39Isaac AssibuF
- 27J. DahlinG
- 6Y. KarabelyovM
- 4B. KurtulusD
- 15Mayckel LahdoF
- 28J. MilosavljeviÄM
- 23N. Åstrand JohnD
- 42V. JeppssonM
- 44H. GustafssonG
- 18A. AnderssonD
- 33S. LagerlundD
- 6M. DyrestamD
- 5C. StyffeD
- 14D. PaulsonD
- 17W. HofvanderM
- 23O. Parker-PriceM
- 8B. LaturnusM
- 22T. SanaM
- 32Viktor EkblomF
- 19A. AndreassonD
- 16H. DahlqvistD
- 29Marlon EbietomereD
- 25J. HammarD
- 2M. ParkerD
- 34A. RahmG
- 7C. VindehallM
- 11David ObouF
- 3J. AzulayD
Form going into Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS
Malmo FF
All competitions we cover
- D0-0AIK Stockholm7 September 2026
- W1-0away to Sirius31 August 2026
- L0-3Djurgardens IF24 August 2026
- W1-0away to Gais16 August 2026
- L1-2Degerfors IF9 August 2026
Orgryte IS
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Hammarby FF6 September 2026
- L0-1away to IFK Goteborg30 August 2026
- D1-1Halmstad22 August 2026
- L1-3away to IF Brommapojkarna16 August 2026
- L3-4AIK Stockholm8 August 2026
What these results say
- Orgryte IS did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Orgryte IS conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Orgryte IS scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Malmo FF | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 40 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS
- 5 April 2026Orgryte IS 1–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Malmo FF and Orgryte IS
Malmo FF
GoalsAssists
- E. Botheim103
Orgryte IS
GoalsAssists
- N. Christoffersson81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Malmo FF beat Orgryte IS 4–1. The model had made a win for Malmo FF its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jovan Milosavljević 58' for Malmo FF, Otto Rosengren 71' for Malmo FF, Tobias Sana (penalty) 82' for Orgryte IS, Bleon Kurtulus 90' for Malmo FF, Owen Parker Price (own goal) 90+4' for Malmo FF.
How the call on Malmo FF v Orgryte IS has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 36% / 31% / 33%: the biggest move is Malmo FF's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Malmo FF win36%▼ −5
- Draw31%▲ +1
- Orgryte IS win33%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.