Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Karlsruher SC 0-3 Energie Cottbus.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Karlsruher SC, 27% draw, 30% Energie Cottbus — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Karlsruher SC at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus
Line-ups
- 1H. BernatG
- 36Rafael Pinto PedrosaD
- 28M. FrankeD
- 22C. KobaldD
- 3D. OfliD
- 23T. CivejaM
- 26D. H. ZorM
- 19Louey Ben FarhatM
- 10M. WanitzekM
- 11N. EichingerM
- 13S. FukudaF
- 33V. BerghD
- 25L. EgloffM
- 30R. HimmelmannG
- 17E. LaghrissiF
- 15Paul SchollD
- 24S. TrémouletD
- 6S. VäänänenM
- 37J. PonenteF
- 27J. D. MeyerF
- 1M. LotkaG
- 3H. RorigD
- 2K. ManuD
- 21Luca ErleinD
- 20A. BorgmannD
- 8Lukas MichelbrinkM
- 32L. BittencourtM
- 10T. CiğerciM
- 19J. BoziarisM
- 9L. CopadoM
- 31J. ButlerF
- 4T. CampulkaD
- 23Fousseny DoumbiaD
- 11M. HannemannF
- 6J. HofmannM
- 7C. KinsombiM
- 16R. MaloneD
- 5D. PelivanM
- 13Dmytro BohdanovF
- 29K. KratzschG
Form going into Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus
Karlsruher SC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Hannover 964 September 2026
- L2-5VfL Wolfsburg29 August 2026
- D0-0away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern15 August 2026
- W2-1Arminia Bielefeld8 August 2026
Energie Cottbus
All competitions we cover
- D4-4away to VfL Wolfsburg5 September 2026
- L3-4SpVgg Greuther Fürth29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Arminia Bielefeld16 August 2026
- W3-1Hannover 969 August 2026
What these results say
- Karlsruher SC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Karlsruher SC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Karlsruher SC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Energie Cottbus conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Energie Cottbus had three goals or more.
- Energie Cottbus failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 8 |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus
- 17 March 2019Energie Cottbus 0–2 Karlsruher SC3. Liga
- 29 September 2018Karlsruher SC 2–0 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
- 15 March 2014Energie Cottbus 1–0 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
- 20 September 2013Karlsruher SC 2–0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
- 17 February 2012Karlsruher SC 2–0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Karlsruher SC and Energie Cottbus
Karlsruher SC
GoalsAssists
- S. Fukuda32
Energie Cottbus
GoalsAssists
- J. Butler51
- T. Ciğerci42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Energie Cottbus won 3–0 at Karlsruher SC. The model had leaned towards a win for Karlsruher SC at 43% and given a win for Energie Cottbus 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Lukas Michelbrink 45+2' for Energie Cottbus, Dominik Pelivan 55' for Energie Cottbus, Justin Butler 62' for Energie Cottbus.