FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC St. Pauli, 29% draw, 32% VfL Wolfsburg — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC St. Pauli at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
Line-ups
- 1B. VollG
- 11A. PyrkaD
- 4D. NemethD
- 21L. RitzkaD
- 23L. OppieD
- 8E. SmithM
- 7Y. NiangM
- 20M. RasmussenM
- 16J. FujitaM
- 24C. MetcalfeF
- 9A. CeesayF
- 33D. MitovG
- 25A. DzwigalaD
- 22S. KleinM
- 14E. AhlstrandM
- 17S. BanksF
- 19M. KaarsF
- 18T. HaraF
- 26R. JonesF
- 46J. WestphalD
- 30J. ZielinskiG
- 2K. FischerD
- 6H. WahlD
- 33CleitonD
- 21J. MaehleD
- 20M. DamarM
- 5Vini SouzaM
- 32M. SvanbergM
- 17A. BernhardssonF
- 7K. ShiogaiF
- 11F. ReeseF
- 12P. PervanG
- 18J. AdjeteyD
- 25A. ZehnterD
- 27M. ArnoldM
- 31Y. GerhardtM
- 14P. HenselM
- 8B. DardaiM
- 42B. KatzF
- 23A. BesioF
Form going into FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Arminia Bielefeld4 September 2026
- L1-21. FC Kaiserslautern30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Holstein Kiel14 August 2026
- D1-1SpVgg Greuther Fürth9 August 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
All competitions we cover
- D4-4Energie Cottbus5 September 2026
- W5-2away to Karlsruher SC29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Hannover 9616 August 2026
- D0-01. FC Kaiserslautern8 August 2026
What these results say
- FC St. Pauli did not win any of these 4 matches.
- FC St. Pauli scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC St. Pauli conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- VfL Wolfsburg went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- VfL Wolfsburg scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
- 16 May 2026FC St. Pauli 1–3 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
- 14 January 2026VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC St. PauliBundesliga
- 8 March 2025VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC St. PauliBundesliga
- 26 October 2024FC St. Pauli 0–0 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
- 16 April 2011VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 FC St. PauliBundesliga
- 21 November 2010FC St. Pauli 1–1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Leading scorers: FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
GoalsAssists
- Abdoulie Ceesay40
VfL Wolfsburg
GoalsAssists
- R. Glatzel51
- F. Reese46
- A. Bernhardsson43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC St. Pauli beat VfL Wolfsburg 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC St. Pauli at 39%. The goal: Joel Chima Fujita 88' for FC St. Pauli.