VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: VfL Osnabrück 1-3 Hertha BSC.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% VfL Osnabrück, 29% draw, 30% Hertha BSC — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts VfL Osnabrück at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC
Line-ups
- 32J. KrumreyG
- 27R. FabinskiD
- 24J. MüllerD
- 25N. WiemannD
- 31P. KammerbauerM
- 26F. WagnerM
- 15B. JacobsenM
- 42J. GómezM
- 21A. BeckM
- 8L. MünstM
- 11R. MeißnerF
- 1N. SauterG
- 22B. RiesselmannF
- 17L. RaimundF
- 19L. OpitzM
- 23T. LesueurF
- 7D. KyerehM
- 20T. JanottaD
- 28K. FaberD
- 4J. Abu HannaD
- 35M. GersbeckG
- 2J. EitschbergerD
- 44L. GechterD
- 27N. KolbeD
- 22M. PedersenD
- 41P. KlemensM
- 8K. SessaM
- 23J. ÞorsteinssonM
- 19O. AdewumiM
- 7J. BrekaloM
- 17S. GrønningF
- 47Selim TelibM
- 42D. ZeefuikD
- 20Farid Alfa-RuprechtF
- 31M. DárdaiD
- 29J. DialloD
- 43T. GollerG
- 33S. GouramM
- 9G. NilssonF
- 18L. SchulerF
Form going into VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC
VfL Osnabrück
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Eintracht Braunschweig6 September 2026
- W1-0away to VfL Bochum28 August 2026
- L0-31. FC Magdeburg15 August 2026
- L3-4away to 1. FC Heidenheim8 August 2026
Hertha BSC
All competitions we cover
- W2-11. FC Magdeburg6 September 2026
- W5-3away to Eintracht Braunschweig28 August 2026
- W4-11. FC Heidenheim15 August 2026
- W1-0away to VfL Bochum7 August 2026
What these results say
- VfL Osnabrück scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- VfL Osnabrück conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for VfL Osnabrück had three goals or more.
- Hertha BSC won every one of these 4 matches.
- Hertha BSC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hertha BSC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC
- 19 May 2024VfL Osnabrück 2–1 Hertha Berlin2. Bundesliga
- 16 December 2023Hertha Berlin 0–0 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: VfL Osnabrück and Hertha BSC
VfL Osnabrück
GoalsAssists
- R. Meißner41
Hertha BSC
GoalsAssists
- J. Brekalo55
- J. Þorsteinsson31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hertha BSC won 3–1 at VfL Osnabrück. The model had leaned towards a win for VfL Osnabrück at 41% and given a win for Hertha BSC 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Josip Brekalo 50' for Hertha BSC, Kevin Sessa 70' for Hertha BSC, Jonathan Gómez 82' for VfL Osnabrück, Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 90+2' for Hertha BSC.