6 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Juve Stabia vs Pisa Serie B prediction & result

Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Juve Stabia 0-3 Pisa.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Juve Stabia, 29% draw, 39% Pisa — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Pisa at 39% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Juve Stabia0%Draw1%Pisa99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Kevin Piscopo
15'
41'
🔁R. Bozhinovout: F. Coppola
42'
⚽A. Calabresiassist: M. Tramoni
45+3'
⚽Andrea Petagna (pen)
45+4'
•Mehdi Léris
46'
🔁A. Petagnaout: F. Pittarello
51'
Arturo Calabresi
🔁K. Piscopoout: F. Maistro
55'
🔁D. Buglioout: F. Artioli
55'
🔁L. Candelloneout: A. Di Nardo
56'
64'
🔁G. Leoneout: T. Esteves
64'
🔁A. Calabresiout: S. Zanon
66'
Francesco Coppola
68'
⚽M. Tramoniassist: F. Pittarello
🔁N. Karicout: J. Kumi
71'
75'
🔁I. Vuralout: G. Piccinini
🔁N. Pataneout: G. Sibilli
78'
80'
•Simone Canestrelli
80'
⚽F. Coppolaassist: S. Canestrelli
Giusepe Sibilli
83'

Match stats — Juve Stabia vs Pisa

62%Possession38%
15Shots12
3On target7
4Corners3

Line-ups

Juve Stabia 5-3-2
  • 23P. BoerG
  • 7N. PataneD
  • 2M. RicciardiD
  • 87D. BettellaD
  • 6M. BellichD
  • 73G. ScuderiD
  • 17N. KaricM
  • 8D. BuglioM
  • 10C. PierobonM
  • 27L. CandelloneF
  • 11K. PiscopoF
Substitutes
  • 1A. VukovicG
  • 25T. DouglasD
  • 96T. MaggioniD
  • 19N. PietrangeliD
  • 4M. BaldiD
  • 37F. MaistroM
  • 80F. ArtioliM
  • 5T. BattistellaM
  • 24J. KumiM
Coach: Pietro De Giorgio
Pisa 4-3-3
  • 98A. ConfenteG
  • 33A. CalabresiD
  • 5S. CanestrelliD
  • 2R. BozhinovD
  • 3S. AngoriD
  • 21I. VuralM
  • 55G. LeoneM
  • 29O. CorreiaM
  • 7M. LerisF
  • 37A. PetagnaF
  • 10M. TramoniF
Substitutes
  • 22L. LoriaG
  • 26F. CoppolaD
  • 19T. EstevesD
  • 44D. DenoonD
  • 13A. PrimassoD
  • 4A. CaraccioloD
  • 72S. ZanonM
  • 14F. LoyolaD
  • 17E. RaoF
Coach: Paolo Bianco

Form going into Juve Stabia vs Pisa

Juve Stabia

  • W2-1away to Sampdoria29 August 2026

Pisa

  • W2-1Catanzaro30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
20Juve Stabia613258-32
7Pisa6312118+310

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Juve Stabia vs Pisa

  • 22 February 2025Pisa 3–1 Juve StabiaSerie B
  • 29 September 2024Juve Stabia 2–0 PisaSerie B
  • 30 September 2020Pisa 2–0 Juve StabiaCoppa Italia
  • 25 January 2020Pisa 1–1 Juve StabiaSerie B
  • 1 September 2019Juve Stabia 0–2 PisaSerie B

Leading scorers: Juve Stabia and Pisa

Juve Stabia

GoalsAssists

  • Antonio Di Nardo40

Pisa

GoalsAssists

  • F. Pittarello21
  • A. Calabresi20

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.