6 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus Serie B prediction & result

Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Virtus Entella 2-2 Vicenza Virtus.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Virtus Entella, 28% draw, 27% Vicenza Virtus — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Virtus Entella at 45% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Virtus Entella5%Draw92%Vicenza Virtus3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽N. Brighentiassist: G. Moncini
Andrea Tiritiello
29'
36'
Mattia Valoti
⚽M. Alborghettiassist: B. Guiu
37'
Andrea Chiappella
45+2'
Bernat Guiu
47'
56'
🔁G. Monciniout: N. Rauti
🔁F. Forteout: L. Benedetti
58'
61'
🔁F. Costaout: T. Corazza
62'
🔁M. Valotiout: L. Zonta
🔁N. Squizzatoout: Lucas Martello
73'
🔁B. Guiuout: G. Corona
73'
75'
⚽S. Merkajassist: L. Caferri
77'
Marco Carraro
🔁A. Tiritielloout: M. Kritta
79'
🔁M. Alborghettiout: L. Vignali
79'
79'
🔁G. Pellizzariout: A. Bellemo
79'
🔁L. Caferriout: A. Pietrelli
Ivan Marconi
84'
⚽G. Coronaassist: L. Benedetti
86'

Match stats — Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus

52%Possession48%
14Shots13
5On target5
4Corners4

Line-ups

Virtus Entella 3-5-2
  • 22F. Del FrateG
  • 27M. AlborghettiD
  • 6A. TiritielloD
  • 15I. MarconiD
  • 23L. ParodiM
  • 24A. FranzoniM
  • 5N. SquizzatoM
  • 26S. Di MarioM
  • 11B. GuiuM
  • 10L. CupponeF
  • 32F. ForteF
Substitutes
  • 12E. TorrielliG
  • 91S. ColombiG
  • 16R. TuricchiaM
  • 70M. KrittaD
  • 3N. PrevitaliD
  • 39M. MotoleseD
  • 8L. VignaliD
  • 80L. BenedettiM
  • 55Lucas MartelloM
Coach: Andrea Chiappella
Vicenza Virtus 3-5-2
  • 16R. GagnoG
  • 14G. CuomoD
  • 23N. BrighentiD
  • 27T. SandonD
  • 28L. CaferriM
  • 26G. PellizzariM
  • 4M. CarraroM
  • 10M. ValotiM
  • 32F. CostaM
  • 33S. MerkajF
  • 11G. MonciniF
Substitutes
  • 68E. TantalocchiG
  • 5R. MarchizzaD
  • 21T. CorazzaD
  • 6M. LeverbeD
  • 66A. PapettiD
  • 8A. BellemoM
  • 29L. ZontaM
  • 99A. PietrelliM
  • 44R. TalaricoM
Coach: Fabio Gallo

Form going into Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus

Virtus Entella

  • L1-2Cesena29 August 2026

Vicenza Virtus

  • L0-3away to Avellino29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Virtus Entella613287+16
16Vicenza Virtus6123713-65

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus

  • 15 February 2023Vicenza Virtus 4–1 Virtus EntellaCoppa Italia Serie C
  • 18 January 2023Virtus Entella 1–0 Vicenza VirtusCoppa Italia Serie C
  • 1 May 2021Virtus Entella 1–2 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
  • 30 December 2020Vicenza Virtus 0–1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
  • 28 February 2017Vicenza Virtus 2–2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
  • 1 October 2016Virtus Entella 4–1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B

Leading scorers: Virtus Entella and Vicenza Virtus

Virtus Entella

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Vicenza Virtus

GoalsAssists

  • S. Merkaj21

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.