6 September 2026, 15:15 UTC

Hellas Verona vs Arezzo Serie B prediction & result

Verona
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Hellas Verona 5-0 Arezzo.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Hellas Verona, 27% draw, 22% Arezzo — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hellas Verona at 51% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hellas Verona99%Draw1%Arezzo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Abdou Harroui
3'
Dailon Livramento
39'
40'
Julian Illanes
42'
🔁A. Arenaout: M. Coppolaro
🔁A. Harrouiout: T. Suslov
46'
46'
🔁C. Tavernelliout: A. Cagnano
46'
🔁P. Cianciout: A. Cerri
⚽G. Zappaassist: D. Bradaric
50'
⚽S. Mulattieriassist: D. Bradaric
58'
🔁D. Livramentoout: E. Iannoni
59'
61'
🔁G. Iaccarinoout: M. Viviani
🔁A. Bernedeout: G. Kastanos
73'
🔁A. Sarrout: S. Cerbone
73'
⚽S. Cerboneassist: E. Iannoni
75'
⚽S. Cerboneassist: S. Mulattieri
78'
🔁A. Le Borgneout: N. Lella
79'
⚽E. Iannoniassist: T. Suslov
85'
86'
🔁M. Salaout: S. M. Eklu
90'
Shaka Mawuli Eklu

Match stats — Hellas Verona vs Arezzo

68%Possession32%
16Shots4
9On target1
6Corners0

Line-ups

Hellas Verona 4-2-3-1
  • 1N. LealiG
  • 4G. ZappaD
  • 48S. KoracD
  • 5A. EdmundssonD
  • 6D. BradaricD
  • 17A. Le BorgneM
  • 24A. BernedeM
  • 14D. LivramentoM
  • 21A. HarrouiM
  • 9A. SarrM
  • 19S. MulattieriF
Substitutes
  • 34S. PerilliG
  • 27P. DawidowiczD
  • 71D. De BattistiD
  • 37N. CalabreseD
  • 23N. LellaM
  • 10T. SuslovM
  • 44E. IannoniM
  • 70F. ChamD
  • 20G. KastanosM
Coach: Marco Baroni
Arezzo 4-5-1
  • 14A. NunzianteG
  • 6A. RenziD
  • 13M. GilliD
  • 5J. IllanesD
  • 37S. RighettiD
  • 30A. ArenaM
  • 16M. SalaM
  • 78G. IaccarinoM
  • 17A. IonitaM
  • 21C. TavernelliM
  • 71P. CianciF
Substitutes
  • 90A. SeculinG
  • 4M. CoppolaroD
  • 32A. CagnanoD
  • 33D. ManciniD
  • 23M. VivianiM
  • 8S. M. EkluM
  • 24L. ChiericoM
  • 7K. Leone
  • 9A. CerriF
Coach: Cristian Bucchi

Form going into Hellas Verona vs Arezzo

Hellas Verona

  • D1-1away to Padova29 August 2026

Arezzo

  • L2-3Palermo30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Hellas Verona62131210+27
12Arezzo6213613-77

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Hellas Verona and Arezzo

Hellas Verona

GoalsAssists

  • D. Mosquera40
  • S. Mulattieri21

Arezzo

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.