Juve Stabia vs Cesena Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Juve Stabia 1-1 Cesena.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Juve Stabia, 29% draw, 30% Cesena — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Juve Stabia at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Juve Stabia vs Cesena
Line-ups
- 23P. BoerG
- 96T. MaggioniD
- 19N. PietrangeliD
- 6M. BellichD
- 7Nicola PatanèM
- 17N. KarićM
- 8D. BuglioM
- 10C. PierobonM
- 25T. DouglasM
- 27L. CandelloneM
- 9Antonio Di NardoF
- 80F. ArtioliM
- 4M. BaldiD
- 5T. BattistellaM
- 87D. BettellaD
- 20L. CaccavoF
- 24J. KumiM
- 37F. MaistroM
- 11K. PiscopoF
- 2M. RicciardiD
- 1A. SianoG
- 15A. CiofiD
- 6M. IlićD
- 4J. GelliD
- 24M. MangravitiD
- 25D. BisoliM
- 10R. PaganoM
- 18M. GuidiM
- 7G. FrabottaF
- 9C. ShpendiF
- 80A. FioriF
- 27M. Dalla VecchiaM
- 16L. D'AndreaF
- 3A. DavidD
- 91A. DebenedettiF
- 14X. DruiventakM
- 39N. FontanaG
- 8M. FrancesconiM
- 23V. MagniD
- 2M. NattaD
Form going into Juve Stabia vs Cesena
Juve Stabia
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Vicenza Virtus12 September 2026
- L0-3Pisa6 September 2026
- W2-1away to Sampdoria29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Palermo23 August 2026
Cesena
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Cremonese12 September 2026
- D1-1Mantova6 September 2026
- W2-1away to Virtus Entella29 August 2026
- D1-1Sampdoria23 August 2026
What these results say
- Juve Stabia conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Juve Stabia failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cesena went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Cesena scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cesena conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Juve Stabia vs Cesena
- 11 April 2026Juve Stabia 2–0 CesenaSerie B
- 20 December 2025Cesena 1–1 Juve StabiaSerie B
- 30 March 2025Cesena 1–2 Juve StabiaSerie B
- 22 December 2024Juve Stabia 1–0 CesenaSerie B
- 19 May 2024Cesena 2–2 Juve StabiaSerie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals
Leading scorers: Juve Stabia and Cesena
Juve Stabia
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Di Nardo50
Cesena
GoalsAssists
- C. Shpendi71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Juve Stabia and Cesena drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Juve Stabia at 41% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Cristian Shpendi 30' for Cesena, Antonio Di Nardo 65' for Juve Stabia.