Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Kasımpaşa 0-0 Konyaspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Kasımpaşa, 29% draw, 24% Konyaspor — fair odds of 2.13, 3.45 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kasımpaşa at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Andreas GianniotisG
- 2Cláudio WinckD
- 14Kevin MouangaD
- 27Matei IlieD
- 5Jakob JessenD
- 51Elson MendesM
- 26Kerem DemirbayM
- 50Güven YalçınM
- 19Marcus RaffertyM
- 7Ali Yavuz KolM
- 9Adrian BenedyczakF
- 10Haris HajradinovićM
- 45Ayberk KarapoD
- 11Thiemoko DiarraF
- 25Ali Emre YanarG
- 30Ahmet Taha DağbaşıD
- 4Adem ArousD
- 66Emirhan BozM
- 8Atakan MujdeM
- 99Muhammed BektaşF
- 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
- 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
- 22Rayyan BaniyaD
- 4Adil DemirbağD
- 26Arthur MasuakuD
- 8Marko JevtovićM
- 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
- 9Deniz TürüçM
- 66Rajmund TóthM
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 11Jackson MulekaF
- 10Enis BardhiM
- 42Mostafa MohamedF
- 91Jean-Luc DompéF
- 1Deniz ErtaşG
- 15Chidozie AwaziemD
- 2Ahmet OğuzD
- 3Arif BoşlukD
- 45Emir BarsF
- 25Omer CobanogluM
Form going into Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
- W2-1away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.13 September 2026
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
- W1-0Trabzonspor12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor
- 8 March 2026Konyaspor 1–1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
- 5 October 2025Kasımpaşa 1–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 19 January 2025Konyaspor 3–3 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
- 10 August 2024Kasımpaşa 2–3 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 13 April 2024Kasımpaşa 0–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor
Kasımpaşa
GoalsAssists
- A. Benedyczak62
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Kasımpaşa at 47% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.50–1.15.
How the call on Kasımpaşa v Konyaspor has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 47% / 29% / 24%: the biggest move is Kasımpaşa's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Kasımpaşa win47%▲ +4
- Draw29%=
- Konyaspor win24%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.