JS El Biar
vs
US Biskra
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: JS El Biar 2–0 US Biskra
The model makes it 68% JS El Biar, 19% draw, 13% US Biskra — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: JS El Biar 2.53, US Biskra 0.85.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: JS El Biar are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. JS El Biar's rating is built from 9 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and US Biskra's from 9, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- JS El Biar are 8th on 11 points from 9 games; US Biskra are bottom on 4 points from 9 games — Ligue 1.
- JS El Biar have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to MC Alger.
- US Biskra have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to ASO Chlef.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: JS El Biar vs US Biskra
Has the model earned this number?
JS El Biar at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into JS El Biar vs US Biskra
JS El Biar
Ligue 1
- W1-0MC Alger8 November 2026
- L0-1away to JS Kabylie30 October 2026
- D0-0MC Oran23 October 2026
- W4-2away to CS Constantine17 October 2026
- L2-3CR Belouizdad12 October 2026
US Biskra
Ligue 1
- D0-0ASO Chlef8 November 2026
- D1-1away to Témouchent2 November 2026
- L0-1MC Alger27 October 2026
- L1-4away to JS Kabylie18 October 2026
- L0-1MC Oran13 October 2026
What these results say
- US Biskra did not win any of these 5 matches.
- US Biskra conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for US Biskra had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | JS El Biar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 | US Biskra | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
JS El Biar
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 2% today
US Biskra
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 89% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives JS El Biar a 0.9% chance of the title and US Biskra 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives JS El Biar the highest probability at 68%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.53 expected goals for JS El Biar against 0.85 for US Biskra. JS El Biar's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.91 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.37/2.22 for US Biskra.
How the model reaches 68% for JS El Biar to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for JS El Biar to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, JS El Biar's ratings add 13 points and US Biskra's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 68%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level45%+1
- JS El Biar's ratings58%+13
- US Biskra's ratings68%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
JS El Biar at home · US Biskra away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: JS El Biar 9, US Biskra 9.
US Biskra score most often in the 31–45 minute window (2 goals); JS El Biar have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
JS El Biar
- vs ASO Chlef30 Nov · Ligue 1win 59%
- at Khenchela26 Dec · Ligue 1win 39%
- vs MB Rouisset31 Dec · Ligue 1win 46%
US Biskra
- vs MB Rouisset30 Nov · Ligue 1win 25%
- vs Olympique Akbou26 Dec · Ligue 1win 24%
- at USM Alger31 Dec · Ligue 1win 12%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.