Regular Season - 13 · 28 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

JS Saoura vs Témouchent Ligue 1 prediction

Our model says: JS Saoura 1–0 Témouchent

The model makes it 46% JS Saoura, 31% draw, 23% Témouchent — fair odds of 2.17, 3.23 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (16%).

Expected goals: JS Saoura 1.27, Témouchent 0.76.

Both teams to score: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 33%, under 2.5: 67%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. JS Saoura's rating is built from 39 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and Témouchent's from 9, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • JS Saoura are 13th on 7 points from 9 games; Témouchent are 9th on 10 points from 9 games — Ligue 1.
  • JS Saoura have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Khenchela.
  • Témouchent are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Khenchela.

More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions

All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: JS Saoura vs Témouchent

39%
Both teams to score
33%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

JS Saoura win Draw Témouchent win
  1. 1–016%
  2. 0–014%
  3. 1–113%
  4. 2–011%
  5. 0–19%
  6. 2–18%
  7. 1–25%

Scores read JS Saoura first; the other scorelines share the remaining 24%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

JS Saoura at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into JS Saoura vs Témouchent

JS Saoura

Ligue 1

  • D1-1Khenchela13 November 2026
  • W1-0CS Constantine8 November 2026
  • L0-1away to CR Belouizdad2 November 2026
  • D0-0Ben Aknoun24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to MB Rouisset18 October 2026

Témouchent

Ligue 1

  • D1-1away to Khenchela8 November 2026
  • D1-1US Biskra2 November 2026
  • W2-1away to ES Setif24 October 2026
  • D1-1ASO Chlef18 October 2026
  • L0-2MB Rouisset14 October 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for JS Saoura had two goals or fewer.
  • JS Saoura failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Témouchent conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Témouchent failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Témouchent scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13JS Saoura914428-67
9Témouchent9243710-310

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

JS Saoura

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 16% today

Win 12%
Draw 18%
Defeat 23%

Témouchent

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 30% today

Win 18%
Draw 28%
Defeat 35%

From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Where the model differs from the table

The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Témouchent (9th, with JS Saoura 13th), while our numbers lean to JS Saoura. JS Saoura rate 0.42 in attack and 1.37 in defence, Témouchent 0.46 and 1.86 (lower is better in defence), so JS Saoura have been the better side in defence on recent expected goals, which the 3-point gap in the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

JS Saoura Témouchent
0.42 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.46
1.37 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.86
1.27 Model expected goals (this match) 0.76

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives JS Saoura the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.27 expected goals for JS Saoura against 0.76 for Témouchent. JS Saoura's attack/defence rating is 0.42/1.37 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.86 for Témouchent.

JS Saoura carry a model rating of 6.3 against 6.15 for Témouchent. A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

How the model reaches 46% for JS Saoura to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for JS Saoura to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 4 points, JS Saoura's ratings add 2 points and Témouchent's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 46%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. Both sides at this match's level40%−4
  4. JS Saoura's ratings42%+2
  5. Témouchent's ratings46%+4

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

JS SaouraTémouchent
9Matches9
1W 4D 4LRecord2W 4D 3L
2 0.2 per gameGoals scored7 0.8 per game
8 0.9 per gameGoals conceded10 1.1 per game
4 of 9Clean sheets1 of 9
7 of 9Failed to score3 of 9
–Penalties scored0 of 1
21 2.3 per gameYellow cards24 2.7 per game
2Red cards1

JS Saoura at home · Témouchent away

4Played4
1W 3D 0LRecord1W 1D 2L
2–1Goals for – against3–5
3 of 4Clean sheets0 of 4

League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Ligue 1 matches this season: JS Saoura 9, Témouchent 9.

JS Saoura scored 100200
Témouchent conceded 011034

JS Saoura score most often in the 46–60 minute window (2 goals); Témouchent have let in 0 there.

Témouchent scored 200131
JS Saoura conceded 101203

Témouchent score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); JS Saoura have let in 0 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 3 matches, by difficulty

JS Saoura

  • vs JS Kabylie1 Dec · Ligue 1win 31%
  • at ASO Chlef26 Dec · Ligue 1win 34%
  • vs ES Setif31 Dec · Ligue 1win 40%

Témouchent

  • at Olympique Akbou1 Dec · Ligue 1win 20%
  • vs Ben Aknoun26 Dec · Ligue 1win 38%
  • at CR Belouizdad31 Dec · Ligue 1win 14%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.