CR Belouizdad
vs
JS Kabylie
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: CR Belouizdad 2–1 JS Kabylie
The model makes it 46% CR Belouizdad, 27% draw, 27% JS Kabylie — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: CR Belouizdad 1.68, JS Kabylie 1.15.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. CR Belouizdad's rating is built from 38 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and JS Kabylie's from 38, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- CR Belouizdad are top on 20 points from 8 games; JS Kabylie are 2nd on 17 points from 8 games — Ligue 1.
- CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 1-0 win away to Ben Aknoun.
- JS Kabylie are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 0-0 draw away to Olympique Akbou.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 5 June 2026, ended JS Kabylie 0–0 CR Belouizdad.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CR Belouizdad vs JS Kabylie
Has the model earned this number?
CR Belouizdad at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into CR Belouizdad vs JS Kabylie
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1
- W1-0away to Ben Aknoun8 November 2026
- W1-0JS Saoura2 November 2026
- D2-2away to USM Alger24 October 2026
- W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
- W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
JS Kabylie
Ligue 1
- D0-0away to Olympique Akbou7 November 2026
- W1-0JS El Biar30 October 2026
- W3-0away to Khenchela24 October 2026
- W4-1US Biskra18 October 2026
- D1-1away to ES Setif14 October 2026
What these results say
- CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad won 4 of these 5 matches.
- JS Kabylie went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- JS Kabylie scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
| 2 | JS Kabylie | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
CR Belouizdad
Chance to finish in the top two · 67% today
JS Kabylie
Chance to finish in the top two · 39% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: CR Belouizdad vs JS Kabylie
- 5 June 2026JS Kabylie 0–0 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 9 January 2026CR Belouizdad 0–1 JS KabylieLigue 1
- 26 April 2025JS Kabylie 3–2 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 21 January 2025CR Belouizdad 1–1 JS KabylieLigue 1
- 24 March 2024JS Kabylie 0–1 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 5 March 2024JS Kabylie 0–2 CR BelouizdadCoupe Nationale
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives CR Belouizdad a 42.6% chance of the title and JS Kabylie 17.3%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.68 expected goals for CR Belouizdad against 1.15 for JS Kabylie. CR Belouizdad's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.44 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.36 for JS Kabylie.
How the model reaches 46% for CR Belouizdad to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for CR Belouizdad to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, CR Belouizdad's ratings add 2 points and JS Kabylie's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 46%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- CR Belouizdad's ratings46%+2
- JS Kabylie's ratings46%±0
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
CR Belouizdad at home · JS Kabylie away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: CR Belouizdad 8, JS Kabylie 8.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
CR Belouizdad
- at MC Alger26 Dec · Ligue 1win 28%
JS Kabylie
- at JS Saoura1 Dec · Ligue 1win 37%
- vs CS Constantine26 Dec · Ligue 1win 67%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.