Regular Season - 9 · 21 November 2026, 15:25 UTC

Dubai United vs Al Wahda FC Pro League prediction

Our model says: Dubai United 1–2 Al Wahda FC

The model makes it 27% Dubai United, 23% draw, 50% Al Wahda FC — fair odds of 3.70, 4.35 and 2.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (9%).

Expected goals: Dubai United 1.46, Al Wahda FC 2.17.

Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

Edge to Al Wahda FC: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Dubai United's rating is built from 7 UAE Pro League matches and Al Wahda FC's from 33, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 413 matches.

Key facts

  • Dubai United are 11th on 7 points from 7 games; Al Wahda FC are 5th on 13 points from 7 games — Pro League.
  • Dubai United are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Al Nasr.
  • Al Wahda FC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Al Ain.

More UAE Pro League predictions

All UAE Pro League predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Dubai United vs Al Wahda FC

68%
Both teams to score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Dubai United win Draw Al Wahda FC win
  1. 1–29%
  2. 1–19%
  3. 2–27%
  4. 1–37%
  5. 0–26%
  6. 2–16%
  7. 0–15%

Scores read Dubai United first; the other scorelines share the remaining 51%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Al Wahda FC at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Dubai United vs Al Wahda FC

Dubai United

Pro League

  • L1-4away to Al Nasr8 November 2026
  • L1-5away to Al-Dhafra16 October 2026
  • D1-1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai10 September 2026
  • L3-4away to Sharjah FC5 September 2026
  • W4-1Al-Ittihad Kalba28 August 2026

Al Wahda FC

Pro League

  • D0-0Al Ain8 November 2026
  • W3-2away to Khorfakkan18 October 2026
  • W1-0Sharjah FC11 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Al-Dhafra6 September 2026
  • W2-1Baniyas SC30 August 2026

What these results say

  • Dubai United scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dubai United conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Dubai United.
  • Al Wahda FC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Al Wahda FC won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Al Wahda FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

United Arab Emirates Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Dubai United72141422-87
5Al Wahda FC741297+213

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Dubai United

Chance to finish in the bottom two · 17% today

Win 8%
Draw 14%
Defeat 21%

Al Wahda FC

Chance to finish in the top two · 6% today

Win 8%
Draw 4%
Defeat 2%

From our Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Dubai United vs Al Wahda FC

  • 1 February 2026Al Wahda FC 2–4 Dubai UnitedPresidents Cup

Leading scorers: Dubai United and Al Wahda FC

Dubai United

GoalsAssists

  • Willy Semedo42
  • Adeel Al Chadli22
  • S. Babicka21

Al Wahda FC

No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dubai United a 0% chance of the title and Al Wahda FC 1.7%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How the call on Dubai United v Al Wahda FC has moved

First published on 7 Nov at 31% / 24% / 45% (home / draw / away). After 2 updates it reads 27% / 23% / 50%: the biggest move is Al Wahda FC's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Dubai United win27%▼ −4
  2. Draw23%▼ −1
  3. Al Wahda FC win50%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Dubai United Al Wahda FC
0.72 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.56
2.56 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.21
1.46 Model expected goals (this match) 2.17

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Al Wahda FC the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.46 expected goals for Dubai United against 2.17 for Al Wahda FC. Dubai United's attack/defence rating is 0.72/2.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.21 for Al Wahda FC.

Dubai United carry a model rating of 6.26 against 6.48 for Al Wahda FC.

How the model reaches 50% for Al Wahda FC to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Al Wahda FC to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Dubai United's ratings add 9 points and Al Wahda FC's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 50%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground37%
  2. Home advantage34%−3
  3. Both sides at this match's level35%+1
  4. Dubai United's ratings44%+9
  5. Al Wahda FC's ratings50%+6

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Dubai UnitedAl Wahda FC
7Matches7
2W 1D 4LRecord4W 1D 2L
14 2.0 per gameGoals scored9 1.3 per game
22 3.1 per gameGoals conceded7 1.0 per game
0 of 7Clean sheets3 of 7
0 of 7Failed to score2 of 7
2 of 2Penalties scored1 of 2
10 1.4 per gameYellow cards13 1.9 per game
4-1-4-1 4×Usual shape4-1-4-1 4×

Dubai United at home · Al Wahda FC away

2Played3
1W 1D 0LRecord2W 0D 1L
5–2Goals for – against4–3
0 of 2Clean sheets1 of 3

League matches only, Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Pro League matches this season: Dubai United 7, Al Wahda FC 7.

Dubai United scored 311441
Al Wahda FC conceded 302201
Al Wahda FC scored 021104
Dubai United conceded 205326

Al Wahda FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Dubai United have let in 6 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Dubai United

  • at Ajman4 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 30%
  • vs Al-Jazira13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 19%
  • at Hatta SC23 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 42%
  • vs Khorfakkan29 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 40%
  • vs Al Ain2 Jan · Pro Leaguewin 15%

Al Wahda FC

  • vs Al-Wasl FC3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 32%
  • at Al-Ittihad Kalba13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 43%
  • at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai25 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 24%
  • vs Hatta SC30 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 57%
  • vs Al-Jazira3 Jan · Pro Leaguewin 30%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.