Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 2 · 1 August 2026, 12:45 UTC

Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice

The model makes it 44% Piast Gliwice, 21% draw, 35% Wisla Krakow — fair odds of 2.27, 4.76 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (7%).

Expected goals: Piast Gliwice 2.20, Wisla Krakow 1.96.

Both teams to score: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%, under 2.5: 22%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

77%
Both teams to score
78%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 7%2-2 7%1-1 7%

Head-to-head: Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow

  • 3 April 2024Wisla Krakow 2–1 Piast GliwiceCup
  • 3 April 2022Wisla Krakow 2–2 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 1 October 2021Piast Gliwice 1–0 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 16 May 2021Piast Gliwice 2–3 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 31 January 2021Wisla Krakow 3–4 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 30 May 2020Piast Gliwice 4–0 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Piast Gliwice the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.2 expected goals for Piast Gliwice against 1.96 for Wisla Krakow. Piast Gliwice's attack/defence rating is 0.88/1.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.25/1.32 for Wisla Krakow.