Lyngby
vs
Aarhus
The model makes it 73% Lyngby, 16% draw, 11% Aarhus — fair odds of 1.37, 6.25 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (9%).
Expected goals: Lyngby 2.69, Aarhus 0.98.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Lyngby vs Aarhus
- 3 November 2024Aarhus 2–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 22 September 2024Lyngby 0–0 AarhusSuperliga
- 22 October 2023Lyngby 0–2 AarhusSuperliga
- 27 August 2023Aarhus 1–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 30 October 2022Lyngby 0–1 AarhusSuperliga
- 15 August 2022Aarhus 1–0 LyngbySuperliga
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Lyngby the highest probability at 73%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.69 expected goals for Lyngby against 0.98 for Aarhus. Lyngby's attack/defence rating is 1.11/1.05 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.28 for Aarhus.