11 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos Super League 1 prediction & result

Kaftanzoglio Stadium, Thessaloniki
Referee: Angelos Evangelou
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Iraklis 1908 2-0 Levadiakos.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Iraklis 1908, 29% draw, 30% Levadiakos — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Iraklis 1908 at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Iraklis 190899%Draw1%Levadiakos0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45'
🔁Moses David Cobnanout: Ognjen Ožegović
🔁Ivi Lópezout: Xande Silva
45'
Xande Silva
47'
63'
🔁Giorgos Nikasout: Adrian Sut
63'
🔁Agustin Urziout: Mahamadou Balde
🔁Vassilis Sourlisout: Marco Krainz
63'
⚽Rob Nizetassist: Marco Krainz
68'
⚽Marco Krainzassist: Carles Soria
72'
75'
🔁Dimitrios Emmanouilidisout: Juan Bauza
75'
🔁Georgios Vrakasout: Octavian Popescu
🔁Carles Soriaout: Sofian Chakla
78'
🔁Rob Nizetout: Nikos Anastasiadis
89'
🔁Pedro Marquesout: Vitor Meer
89'

Match stats — Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos

48%Possession52%
10Shots14
4On target6
2Corners2
0.8xG0.62

Goals against chances

Iraklis 19082 from 0.80 xGmore than the chances were worth
Levadiakos0 from 0.62 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Iraklis 1908 3-4-3
  • 33G. AthanasiadisG
  • 2P. VourosD
  • 21PiñaD
  • 69Y. RocheD
  • 30Carles SoriaM
  • 90V. SourlisM
  • 8N. RadojaM
  • 31NanuM
  • 11Ivi LópezF
  • 43Pedro MarquesF
  • 18R. NizetF
Substitutes
  • 4S. ChaklaD
  • 14J. HromadaM
  • 7E. KoljićF
  • 27M. KrainzM
  • 9K. KushtaF
  • 23Daniel Muñoz NavasD
  • 12Xande SilvaF
  • 6CarlisM
  • 44R. LauritsenD
Coach: W. Mazzarri
Levadiakos 4-2-3-1
  • 55N. EliasiG
  • 2A. PanteaD
  • 24P. LiagasD
  • 4Jonathan PanzoD
  • 3M. VichosD
  • 8G. NikasM
  • 18I. KostiM
  • 11A. UrziM
  • 77G. VrakasM
  • 17D. EmmanouilidisM
  • 99M. CobnanF
Substitutes
  • 9O. OžegovićF
  • 33Lucas AnackerG
  • 66M. NdiayeM
  • 14G. ManthatisM
  • 20K. GoumasM
  • 6Mohamed ElnenyM
  • 7Juan Francisco BauzaM
  • 21M. BaldeF
  • 25A. BadjiF
Coach: I. Charalambous

Form going into Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos

Iraklis 1908

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Aris Thessalonikis19 September 2026
  • D1-1Atromitos12 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Asteras Tripolis7 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Volos NFC29 August 2026
  • L0-4away to AEK Athens FC22 August 2026

Levadiakos

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Olympiakos Piraeus20 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Kifisia13 September 2026
  • L0-2Panetolikos6 September 2026
  • L0-2Panathinaikos31 August 2026
  • L0-4away to PAOK23 August 2026

What these results say

  • Iraklis 1908 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Iraklis 1908 had two goals or fewer.
  • Levadiakos did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Levadiakos failed to score in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Levadiakos conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Iraklis 1908102441114-310
13Levadiakos10136413-96

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos

  • 4 February 2024Levadiakos 2–0 Iraklis 1908Super League 2
  • 4 November 2023Iraklis 1908 0–1 LevadiakosSuper League 2

Leading scorers: Iraklis 1908 and Levadiakos

Iraklis 1908

GoalsAssists

  • Pedro Marques31

Levadiakos

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Iraklis 1908 beat Levadiakos 2–0. The model had made a win for Iraklis 1908 its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Rob Nizet 68' for Iraklis 1908, Marco Krainz 72' for Iraklis 1908. On expected goals it finished 0.80–0.62.

How the call on Iraklis 1908 v Levadiakos has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 39% / 30% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 41% / 29% / 30%: the biggest move is Iraklis 1908's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Iraklis 1908 win41%▲ +2
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. Levadiakos win30%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.